Henrique da Silva vs Paul Craig — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson

Sacramento, USA

17 Dec 2016

Light Heavyweight

27%

Silva

73%

Craig

Win Probability

Submission

Round 2 · 1:59

Henrique da Silva

"Frankenstein"

14 – 5

6'3"76" reachOrthodox37 yrs4-fight slidePressure Fighter

CFR 19

Paul Craig

"Bearjew"

17 – 10

Pressure Fighter4-fight slide38 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'3"

CFR 49

★ Official Result

Paul CraigwinsSubmissionR2 · 1:59

def. Henrique da Silva · UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Craig

→

Actual result

Craig wins

Submission · R2

Pre-fight analysis

Craig is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 31 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Silva's chin rating of 42 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Craig has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

SilvaCraig

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Silva

Craig

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

6'3"

Height

6'3"

76"

Reach

76"

37+

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Silva

Craig

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

18.6

49.1

44.7

Performance Avg

50.4

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Silva

Craig

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

5.7

/ 10

4.3

/ 10

8.0

Style: Pressure

8.4

0.7

Style: Volume

0.9

1 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

3 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

2Distance11

2Clinch0

0Ground2

Silva

Craig

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

4.0

/ 10

5.3

/ 10

2.8

Wrestling Style (/10)

3.7

5.0

Submission Style (/10)

6.7

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Silva

Craig

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

2 consec. KOs

Verdict

2 consec. KOs

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R1.0 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R1.2 stoppage

Most recent fight

Last KO loss

Most recent fight

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

6/19 fights

Chin rating based on

21/27 fights

Silva

Craig

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

4-fight 📉 slide

Current form

4-fight 📉 slide

L · KO · R1

L · Dec · R3

L · Sub · R2

W · Sub · R2

Last 5

L · KO · R1

Upcoming

L · Dec · R3

L · KO · R2

L · Sub · R3

Silva

Craig

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

100%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Silva

Craig

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

5.7

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

4.3

4.0

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

5.3

2.8

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

3.7

5.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

6.7

8.0

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

8.4

0.7

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

0.9

Silva

Strike Zones

Craig

Silva

Attacking

4 landed

Absorbing

13 absorbed

Craig

Attacking

13 landed

Absorbing

4 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Silva targets the head (50% of attacks) — Craig absorbs 50% of strikes there

🎯Craig targets the head (85% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 85% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Silva

RND

Craig

0/0R00/0

Silva · Last 5

L · KO · R1

Gokhan Saki

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs. Okami · 2017-09

L · KO · R1

Ion Cutelaba

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt · 2017-06

L · Dec · R3

Jordan Johnson

Decision

UFC on FOX: Shevchenko vs. Pena · 2017-01

L · Sub · R2

Paul Craig

Submission

UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · 2016-12

W · Sub · R2

Joachim Christensen

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · 2016-10

Craig · Last 5

L · KO · R1

Modestas Bukauskas

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09

Upcoming

Rodolfo Bellato

UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06

L · Dec · R3

Bo Nickal

Decision

UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11

L · KO · R2

Caio Borralho

KO/TKO

UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05

L · Sub · R3

Brendan Allen

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · 2023-11

News & Media

Henrique da Silva · Paul Craig

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