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UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill
Las Vegas, USA
13 Apr 2024
Lightweight
VS
48%
Oliveira
52%
Tsarukyan
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 Β· 5:00
Charles
Charles Oliveira
"Do Bronxs"
37 – 11
5'10"74" reachOrthodox36 yrs2-fight win streakPressure Fighter
CFR 63
Arman
Arman Tsarukyan
"Ahalkalakets"
23 – 3
Well-Rounded5-fight win streak29 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'7"
CFR 68
β˜… Official Result
Arman TsarukyanwinsDecisionR3 Β· 5:00
def. Charles Oliveira Β· UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis Β· prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Tsarukyan
β†’
Actual result
Tsarukyan wins
Decision Β· R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up β€” Oliveira at 48% vs Tsarukyan at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Tsarukyan has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Oliveira's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight β€” Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
OliveiraTsarukyan
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
β€”
Strike Accuracy
β€”
Oliveira
Tsarukyan
Physical Matchup
Height Β· Reach Β· Age Β· Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'7"
74"+
Reach
72"
36
Age
+29
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Oliveira
Tsarukyan
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
63.3
67.5
58.6
Performance Avg
58.4
51
Quality of Victory
42
100
Momentum Score
100
Oliveira
Tsarukyan
Striking
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
1.1
1.6
53%
Strike Accuracy
55%
3.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.7
4 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
12
3
Body
5
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance11
3Clinch1
0Ground6
Oliveira
Tsarukyan
Grappling
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
β€”
β€”
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
β€”
5.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.0
4.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Oliveira
Tsarukyan
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
96
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
5
KO/TKO Losses
0
4
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.2 stoppage
KO round context
β€”
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
β€”
β€”
Strikes absorbed / min
β€”
37/48 fights
Chin rating based on
12/26 fights
Oliveira
Tsarukyan
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance β€” most recent weighted 30%
100
100
2-fight πŸ”₯ win streak
Current form
5-fight πŸ”₯ win streak
W Β· Dec Β· R5
W Β· Sub Β· R2
L Β· KO Β· R1
W Β· Dec Β· R5
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Last 5
W Β· Sub Β· R2
W Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· KO Β· R1
W Β· KO Β· R3
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Oliveira
Tsarukyan
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
84%
50%
4
KO / TKO Wins
4
17
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar β€” 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Oliveira
Tsarukyan
Striking3.0 / 5.7Volume2.7 / 5.7Grappling5.8 / 2.0Wrestling4.1 / 1.4Submission6.8 / 1.0Pressure8.0 / 6.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.7
5.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
4.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
6.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
2.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.7
Oliveira
Strike Zones
Tsarukyan
Oliveira
Attacking
2HEAD3BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD5BODY1LEGS18 absorbed
Tsarukyan
Attacking
12HEAD5BODY1LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD3BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Oliveira targets the body (60% of attacks) β€” Tsarukyan absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Tsarukyan targets the head (67% of attacks) β€” Oliveira absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight Β· per-round breakdown

Oliveira
RND
Tsarukyan
0/0R00/0

Oliveira Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.5W5.5W1.9L1.5L5.0W5.2W2.0L5.5L5.5W5.2W5.0W5.5W2.6L5.0W4.0L2.8L5.0W2.8L5.5W5.4W5.4W5.2W5.2W5.4W5.3W5.0W5.9W6.6W6.6W4.1L6.0W7.1L5.3W3.9L6.2W5.6W2010-082014-062018-062021-122026-03
WinLossTrend

Tsarukyan Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.7
0107.5L4.5W4.5W4.7W5.2W6.5W6.6L4.5W6.1W6.0W5.9W6.0W2019-042021-012022-062023-122025-11
WinLossTrend

Oliveira Β· Last 5

W Β· Dec Β· R5
Max HollowayRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 Β· 2026-03
W Β· Sub Β· R2
Mateusz GamrotRating 6.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot Β· 2025-10
L Β· KO Β· R1
Ilia TopuriaRating 3.9
KO/TKO
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira Β· 2025-06
W Β· Dec Β· R5
Michael ChandlerRating 5.3
Decision
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic Β· 2024-11
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Arman TsarukyanRating 7.1
Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill Β· 2024-04

Tsarukyan Β· Last 5

W Β· Sub Β· R2
Dan HookerRating 6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker Β· 2025-11
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Charles OliveiraRating 5.9
Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill Β· 2024-04
W Β· KO Β· R1
Beneil DariushRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan Β· 2023-12
W Β· KO Β· R3
Joaquim SilvaRating 6.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier Β· 2023-06
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Damir IsmagulovRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland Β· 2022-12

News & Media

Charles Oliveira Β· Arman Tsarukyan
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