UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill
Las Vegas, USA
13 Apr 2024
Lightweight
VS
48%
Oliveira
52%
Tsarukyan
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00

CFR 63
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Tsarukyan
This is a genuine toss-up — Oliveira at 48% vs Tsarukyan at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Tsarukyan has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Oliveira's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Oliveira
Tsarukyan
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'7"
74"+
Reach
72"
36
Age
+29
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Oliveira
Tsarukyan
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
63.3
67.5
58.6
Performance Avg
58.4
51
Quality of Victory
42
100
Momentum Score
100
Oliveira
Tsarukyan
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.6
53%
Strike Accuracy
55%
3.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.7
4 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
12
3
Body
5
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance11
3Clinch1
0Ground6
Oliveira
Tsarukyan
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.0
4.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Oliveira
Tsarukyan
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
96
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
5
KO/TKO Losses
0
4
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.2 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
37/48 fights
Chin rating based on
12/26 fights
Oliveira
Tsarukyan
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
5-fight 🔥 win streak
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Oliveira
Tsarukyan
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
84%
50%
4
KO / TKO Wins
4
17
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Oliveira
Tsarukyan
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.7
5.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
4.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
6.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
2.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.7
OliveiraTsarukyan
Strike Zones
Oliveira
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTsarukyan
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Oliveira targets the body (60% of attacks) — Tsarukyan absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Tsarukyan targets the head (67% of attacks) — Oliveira absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Oliveira
RND
Tsarukyan
0/0R00/0
Oliveira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Tsarukyan · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.7WinLossTrend
Oliveira · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Max HollowayRating 5.6Decision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Sub · R2
Mateusz GamrotRating 6.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
L · KO · R1
Ilia TopuriaRating 3.9KO/TKO
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · Dec · R5
Michael ChandlerRating 5.3Decision
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Arman TsarukyanRating 7.1Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
Tsarukyan · Last 5
W · Sub · R2
Dan HookerRating 6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Charles OliveiraRating 5.9Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · KO · R1
Beneil DariushRating 6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
W · KO · R3
Joaquim SilvaRating 6.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06
W · Dec · R3
Damir IsmagulovRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland · 2022-12
