METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
21 Jan 2023
Women's Flyweight
VS
50%
Murphy
50%
Andrade
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Jessica AndradewinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Lauren Murphy · UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Murphy
→
Actual result
Andrade wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Murphy at 50% vs Andrade at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Andrade has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.
Risk flags
Murphy's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Andrade has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MurphyAndrade
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Murphy
Andrade
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"+
Height
5'1"
67"+
Reach
62"
43
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Murphy
Andrade
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.7
51.0
41.9
Performance Avg
49.4
34
Quality of Victory
45
87
Momentum Score
79
Murphy
Andrade
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.6
/ 10
4.7
/ 10
4.2
Style: Pressure
5.4
6.1
Style: Volume
4.9
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
6 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
43
Head
78
3
Body
8
3
Leg
9
RangeRange
45Distance88
4Clinch7
0Ground0
Murphy
Andrade
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.5
/ 10
2.5
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
1.3
Submission Style (/10)
1.8
1
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Murphy
Andrade
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
0
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
5
Avg R4.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/23 fights
Chin rating based on
30/41 fights
Murphy
Andrade
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
87
79
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R4
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Murphy
Andrade
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
38%
53%
2
KO / TKO Wins
6
1
Submission Wins
3
5
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Murphy
Andrade
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.7
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.8
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.4
6.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.9
MurphyAndrade
Strike Zones
Murphy
Attacking
49 landedAbsorbing
95 absorbedAndrade
Attacking
95 landedAbsorbing
49 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Murphy targets the head (88% of attacks) — Andrade absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Andrade targets the head (82% of attacks) — Murphy absorbs 82% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Murphy
RND
Andrade
0/0R00/0
Murphy · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Eduarda MouraDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Jessica AndradeDecision
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01
W · Dec · R3
Miesha TateDecision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
L · KO · R4
Valentina ShevchenkoKO/TKO
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
W · Dec · R3
Joanne WoodDecision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
Andrade · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Loopy GodinezDecision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
L · Sub · R1
Jasmine JasudaviciusSubmission
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Natalia SilvaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Marina RodriguezDecision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · KO · R2
Mackenzie DernKO/TKO
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11