METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
21 Jan 2023
Women's Flyweight
VS
50%
Murphy
50%
Andrade
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Jessica AndradewinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Lauren Murphy · UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Murphy
→
Actual result
Andrade wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Murphy at 50% vs Andrade at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Andrade has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.
Andrade has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Murphy's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Andrade has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MurphyAndrade
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Murphy
Andrade
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"+
Height
5'1"
67"+
Reach
62"
42
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Murphy
Andrade
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.7
51.0
41.9
Performance Avg
49.4
34
Quality of Victory
45
87
Momentum Score
79
Murphy
Andrade
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
3.1
43%
Strike Accuracy
52%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.7
2 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
43
Head
78
3
Body
8
3
Leg
9
RangeRange
45Distance88
4Clinch7
0Ground0
Murphy
Andrade
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.5
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Murphy
Andrade
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
0
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
5
Avg R4.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/23 fights
Chin rating based on
30/41 fights
Murphy
Andrade
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
87
79
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R4
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Murphy
Andrade
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
38%
53%
2
KO / TKO Wins
6
1
Submission Wins
3
5
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Murphy
Andrade
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.7
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.8
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.4
6.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.9
MurphyAndrade
Strike Zones
Murphy
Attacking
49 landedAbsorbing
95 absorbedAndrade
Attacking
95 landedAbsorbing
49 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Murphy targets the head (88% of attacks) — Andrade absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Andrade targets the head (82% of attacks) — Murphy absorbs 82% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Murphy
RND
Andrade
0/0R00/0
Murphy · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Andrade · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Murphy · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Eduarda MouraRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Jessica AndradeRating 6.3Decision
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01
W · Dec · R3
Miesha TateRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
L · KO · R4
Valentina ShevchenkoRating 4.7KO/TKO
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
W · Dec · R3
Joanne WoodRating 4.7Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
Andrade · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Loopy GodinezRating 6Decision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
L · Sub · R1
Jasmine JasudaviciusRating 2.4Submission
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Natalia SilvaRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Marina RodriguezRating 5.2Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · KO · R2
Mackenzie DernRating 6.5KO/TKO
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11