UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
21 Jan 2023
Women's Flyweight
VS
50%
Murphy
50%
Andrade
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Lauren
Lauren Murphy
"Lucky"
16 – 7
5'5"67" reachOrthodox42 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 52
Jessica
Jessica Andrade
"Bate Estaca"
26 – 15
Well-Rounded3-fight slide34 yrsOrthodox62" reach5'1"
CFR 51

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Murphy

This is a genuine toss-up — Murphy at 50% vs Andrade at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Andrade has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.

Andrade has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Murphy's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Andrade has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Murphy
Andrade
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"+
Height
5'1"
67"+
Reach
62"
42
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Murphy
Andrade
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.7
51.0
41.9
Performance Avg
49.4
34
Quality of Victory
45
87
Momentum Score
79
Murphy
Andrade
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
3.1
43%
Strike Accuracy
52%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.7
2 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
43
Head
78
3
Body
8
3
Leg
9
RangeRange
45Distance88
4Clinch7
0Ground0
Murphy
Andrade
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.5
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Murphy
Andrade
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
0
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
5
Avg R4.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/23 fights
Chin rating based on
30/41 fights
Murphy
Andrade
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
87
79
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R4
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Murphy
Andrade
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
38%
53%
2
KO / TKO Wins
6
1
Submission Wins
3
5
Decision Wins
8

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Murphy
Andrade
Striking3.6 / 4.7Volume6.1 / 4.9Grappling2.5 / 2.5Wrestling1.8 / 1.8Submission1.3 / 1.8Pressure4.2 / 5.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.7
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.8
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.4
6.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.9
Murphy
Strike Zones
Andrade
Murphy
Attacking
43HEAD3BODY3LEGS49 landed
Absorbing
78HEAD8BODY9LEGS95 absorbed
Andrade
Attacking
78HEAD8BODY9LEGS95 landed
Absorbing
43HEAD3BODY3LEGS49 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Murphy targets the head (88% of attacks) — Andrade absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Andrade targets the head (82% of attacks) — Murphy absorbs 82% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Murphy
RND
Andrade
0/0R00/0

Murphy · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.5L5.5L5.5W5.8L4.5W5.5L5.5W4.9W4.5W5.2W4.7W4.7L5.4W6.3L6.3L2014-082017-122020-062022-072025-07
WinLossTrend

Andrade · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0102.8L4.5W5.1W5.0W1.5L4.5W3.3L5.3W5.2W4.6W5.5L4.5W5.2W5.0W6.5W3.3L6.9L5.3W3.5L5.0W6.1W5.3W3.6L2.5L4.6L6.5W5.2W7.0L2.4L6.0L2013-072016-092020-072023-082025-08
WinLossTrend

Murphy · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Eduarda MouraRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Jessica AndradeRating 6.3
Decision
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01
W · Dec · R3
Miesha TateRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
L · KO · R4
Valentina ShevchenkoRating 4.7
KO/TKO
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
W · Dec · R3
Joanne WoodRating 4.7
Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06

Andrade · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Loopy GodinezRating 6
Decision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
L · Sub · R1
Jasmine JasudaviciusRating 2.4
Submission
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Natalia SilvaRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Marina RodriguezRating 5.2
Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · KO · R2
Mackenzie DernRating 6.5
KO/TKO
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11

News & Media

Lauren Murphy · Jessica Andrade
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