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UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno
Las Vegas, USA
12 Dec 2020
Featherweight
VS
46%
Swanson
54%
Pineda
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 Β· 1:52
Cub
Cub Swanson
31 – 14
5'8"70" reachOrthodox42 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 46
Daniel
Daniel Pineda
"The Pit"
28 – 17
Submission Hunter3-fight slide40 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'7"
CFR 53
β˜… Official Result
Cub SwansonwinsKO/TKOR2 Β· 1:52
def. Daniel Pineda Β· UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis Β· prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Pineda
β†’
Actual result
Swanson wins
KO/TKO Β· R2
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up β€” Swanson at 46% vs Pineda at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Pineda has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition β€” a QoV edge of 13 points.

Swanson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Swanson's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Pineda has a chin rating of 44 β€” a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight β€” Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
SwansonPineda
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
β€”
Strike Accuracy
β€”
Swanson
Pineda
Physical Matchup
Height Β· Reach Β· Age Β· Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'7"
70"+
Reach
69"
42
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Swanson
Pineda
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.5
52.9
48.8
Performance Avg
47.4
40
Quality of Victory
53
56
Momentum Score
85
Swanson
Pineda
Striking
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
2.1
1.1
56%
Strike Accuracy
55%
6.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.8
8 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
3
3
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
14Distance5
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Swanson
Pineda
Grappling
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
β€”
β€”
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
6.4
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
4.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Swanson
Pineda
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
44
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
5
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
β€”
Strikes absorbed / min
β€”
26/45 fights
Chin rating based on
14/45 fights
Swanson
Pineda
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance β€” most recent weighted 30%
56
85
2-fight πŸ”₯ win streak
Current form
3-fight πŸ“‰ slide
W Β· KO Β· R1
W Β· KO Β· R3
L Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· KO Β· R2
Last 5
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· Sub Β· R2
Upcoming
Swanson
Pineda
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
8
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
4
8
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar β€” 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Swanson
Pineda
Striking6.2 / 2.8Volume5.2 / 0.8Grappling1.2 / 6.4Wrestling0.8 / 4.5Submission0.0 / 8.0Pressure5.3 / 8.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.8
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.4
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
8.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.2
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.8
Swanson
Strike Zones
Pineda
Swanson
Attacking
12HEAD3BODY0LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY1LEGS5 absorbed
Pineda
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY1LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD3BODY0LEGS15 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Swanson targets the head (80% of attacks) β€” Pineda absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Pineda targets the head (60% of attacks) β€” Swanson absorbs 60% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight Β· per-round breakdown

Swanson
RND
Pineda
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Swanson Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0102.8L5.2W5.2W6.4W5.8W5.5W5.0W4.0L5.1L4.5W4.5W6.3W4.5W3.5L5.5L2.3L5.5L5.3W6.1W2.5L5.5W3.3L4.6W6.2L6.7W5.7W2011-112014-112018-042022-102026-04
WinLossTrend

Pineda Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.0W5.0W5.5L1.5L5.0W5.5L5.5L5.6W3.3L5.2W5.7L6.3L6.0L2012-012013-042020-122024-10
WinLossTrend

Swanson Β· Last 5

W Β· KO Β· R1
Nate LandwehrRating 5.7
KO/TKO
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg Β· 2026-04
W Β· KO Β· R3
Billy QuarantilloRating 6.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley Β· 2024-12
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Andre FiliRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 Β· 2024-06
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Hakeem DawoduRating 4.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos Β· 2023-08
L Β· KO Β· R2
Jonathan MartinezRating 3.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo Β· 2022-10

Pineda Β· Last 5

L Β· Dec Β· R3
Darren ElkinsRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira Β· 2024-10
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Nathaniel WoodRating 6.3
Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 Β· 2024-07
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Alex CaceresRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi Β· 2023-06
W Β· Sub Β· R2
Tucker LutzRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen Β· 2023-03
Upcoming
Andre Fili
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov Β· 2021-06

News & Media

Cub Swanson Β· Daniel Pineda
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