UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
17 Oct 2020
Bantamweight
VS
96%
Nurmagomedov
4%
Striegl
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:51
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Nurmagomedov
Nurmagomedov is a strong favourite at 96% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 61 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Nurmagomedov has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 47 points.
Nurmagomedov has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Striegl has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Nurmagomedov
Striegl
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
5'8"
70"
Reach
70"
34+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Nurmagomedov
Striegl
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
63.8
2.5
53.5
Performance Avg
0.0
47
Quality of Victory
0
87
Momentum Score
0
Nurmagomedov
Striegl
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
0.7
55%
Strike Accuracy
41%
4.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
1
0
Body
0
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
3Distance3
4Clinch0
11Ground0
Nurmagomedov
Striegl
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.1
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
4.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Nurmagomedov
Striegl
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
92
56
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/23 fights
Chin rating based on
2/22 fights
Nurmagomedov
Striegl
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
87
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Nurmagomedov
Striegl
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Nurmagomedov
Striegl
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
4.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
4.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
NurmagomedovStriegl
Strike Zones
Nurmagomedov
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedStriegl
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Nurmagomedov targets the head (94% of attacks) — Striegl absorbs 94% of strikes there
🎯Striegl targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Nurmagomedov absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Nurmagomedov
RND
Striegl
0/0R00/0
Nurmagomedov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Striegl · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.8WinLossTrend
Nurmagomedov · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Bryce MitchellRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Vinicius OliveiraRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
W · Sub · R1
Muin GafurovRating 5Submission
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
L · Dec · R3
Jonathan MartinezRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili · 2023-03
W · Sub · R2
Saidyokub KakhramonovRating 5.6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland · 2022-12
Striegl · Last 2
L · KO · R2
Chas SkellyRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill · 2022-02
L · KO · R1
Said NurmagomedovRating 2.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie · 2020-10