METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev
Las Vegas, USA
2 Mar 2024
Flyweight
VS
48%
Schnell
52%
Erceg
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 0:26
★ Official Result
Steve ErcegwinsKO/TKOR2 · 0:26
def. Matt Schnell · UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Erceg
→
Actual result
Erceg wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Schnell at 48% vs Erceg at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Schnell's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Erceg has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SchnellErceg
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Schnell
Erceg
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
5'8"
70"+
Reach
68"
36
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Schnell
Erceg
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
37.5
40.1
39.6
Performance Avg
40.8
37
Quality of Victory
31
45
Momentum Score
45
Schnell
Erceg
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
/ 10
3.1
/ 10
4.3
Style: Pressure
3.1
5.5
Style: Volume
7.5
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
1
0
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Schnell
Erceg
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.8
/ 10
1.9
/ 10
3.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
4.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Schnell
Erceg
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
52
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
6
KO/TKO Losses
2
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/27 fights
Chin rating based on
9/18 fights
Schnell
Erceg
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
45
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R1
Schnell
Erceg
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
20%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Schnell
Erceg
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.1
4.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
3.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
4.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.1
5.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.5
SchnellErceg
Strike Zones
Schnell
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedErceg
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Schnell targets the head (50% of attacks) — Erceg absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Erceg targets the head (50% of attacks) — Schnell absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Schnell
RND
Erceg
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Schnell · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Alessandro CostaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
L · Sub · R1
Joseph MoralesSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Jimmy FlickDecision
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · Sub · R2
Cody DurdenSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
L · KO · R2
Steve ErcegKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03
Erceg · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Ramazan TemirovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov · 2026-07
W · Dec · R3
Tim ElliottDecision
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
W · Dec · R3
Ode OsbourneDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
L · Dec · R5
Brandon MorenoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
L · KO · R1
Kai Kara-FranceKO/TKO
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08