UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw
Brooklyn, USA
19 Jan 2019
Lightweight
VS
50%
Gillespie
50%
Medeiros
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:59
GG
Gregor Gillespie
"The Gift"
14 – 1
5'7"71" reachOrthodox39 yrsKnockout Artist
CFR 25
YM
Yancy Medeiros
15 – 8
Well-Rounded4-fight slide38 yrsOrthodox75" reach5'10"
CFR 24

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Gillespie

This is a genuine toss-up — Gillespie at 50% vs Medeiros at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Gillespie has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Medeiros has a chin rating of 14 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Gillespie
Medeiros
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'10"
71"
Reach
+75"
39
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Gillespie
Medeiros
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
24.8
24.4
65.3
Performance Avg
45.4
51
Quality of Victory
47
89
Momentum Score
39
Gillespie
Medeiros
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.7
2.0
58%
Strike Accuracy
37%
7.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.2
4 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
35
Head
1
4
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
1Clinch0
37Ground0
Gillespie
Medeiros
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
2.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.4
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Gillespie
Medeiros
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
14
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/15 fights
Chin rating based on
15/23 fights
Gillespie
Medeiros
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
89
39
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
Gillespie
Medeiros
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
86%
83%
4
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
3
1
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Gillespie
Medeiros
Striking7.5 / 4.2Volume2.9 / 2.2Grappling2.6 / 4.4Wrestling1.8 / 3.1Submission2.9 / 5.0Pressure8.6 / 7.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.4
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.1
2.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
8.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.1
2.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.2
Gillespie
Strike Zones
Medeiros
Gillespie
Attacking
35HEAD4BODY0LEGS39 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Medeiros
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
35HEAD4BODY0LEGS39 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Gillespie targets the head (90% of attacks) — Medeiros absorbs 90% of strikes there
🎯Medeiros targets the head (100% of attacks) — Gillespie absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Gillespie
RND
Medeiros
0/0R00/0

Gillespie · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0104.5W5.0W5.2W5.0W5.5W5.2W1.5L6.3W2016-092017-092018-062019-112021-05
WinLossTrend

Medeiros · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0104.0L1.9L5.5W5.0W2.8L4.5W5.5L5.2W5.2W5.5W1.5L2.8L6.0L5.5L2013-042015-062017-062020-022021-06
WinLossTrend

Gillespie · Last 5

W · KO · R2
Diego FerreiraRating 6.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Waterson · 2021-05
L · KO · R1
Kevin LeeRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11
W · KO · R2
Yancy MedeirosRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01
W · Sub · R2
Vinc PichelRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes · 2018-06
W · KO · R1
Jordan RinaldiRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Brunson 2 · 2018-01

Medeiros · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Damir HadzovicRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · 2021-06
L · Dec · R3
Lando VannataRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02
L · KO · R2
Gregor GillespieRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01
L · KO · R1
Donald CerroneRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros · 2018-02
W · KO · R3
Alex OliveiraRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2 · 2017-12

News & Media

Gregor Gillespie · Yancy Medeiros
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