METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2
Manchester, United Kingdom
27 Jul 2024
Light Heavyweight
VS
57%
Bukauskas
43%
Prachnio
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 3:12
Modestas Bukauskas
"The Baltic Gladiator"
20 – 7
6'3"76" reachSwitch32 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 56
★ Official Result
Modestas BukauskaswinsSubmissionR3 · 3:12
def. Marcin Prachnio · UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Bukauskas
→
Actual result
Bukauskas wins
Submission · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Bukauskas at 57% vs Prachnio at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Bukauskas's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Prachnio has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BukauskasPrachnio
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Bukauskas
Prachnio
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
76"+
Reach
73"
32+
Age
38
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Bukauskas
Prachnio
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
55.8
42.9
51.0
Performance Avg
34.0
42
Quality of Victory
33
94
Momentum Score
96
Bukauskas
Prachnio
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.7
/ 10
3.2
/ 10
5.8
Style: Pressure
2.8
4.8
Style: Volume
6.7
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
9
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance10
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Bukauskas
Prachnio
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.0
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Bukauskas
Prachnio
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
0
KO risk
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/27 fights
Chin rating based on
11/26 fights
Bukauskas
Prachnio
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
94
96
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
Bukauskas
Prachnio
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
56%
25%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Bukauskas
Prachnio
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.2
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.8
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.7
BukauskasPrachnio
Strike Zones
Bukauskas
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedPrachnio
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Bukauskas targets the head (100% of attacks) — Prachnio absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Prachnio targets the head (90% of attacks) — Bukauskas absorbs 90% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Bukauskas
RND
Prachnio
0/0R00/0
Bukauskas · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Oumar SyKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse · 2026-09
W · Dec · R3
Christian EdwardsDecision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · 2026-05
L · KO · R3
Nikita KrylovKO/TKO
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · KO · R1
Paul CraigKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Ion CutelabaDecision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
Prachnio · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Jimmy CruteSubmission
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · Sub · R3
Modestas BukauskasSubmission
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Devin ClarkDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
L · Sub · R3
Vitor PetrinoSubmission
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07
W · Dec · R3
William KnightDecision
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield · 2023-02