METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2
Manchester, United Kingdom
27 Jul 2024
Light Heavyweight
VS
55%
Bukauskas
45%
Prachnio
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 3:12
Modestas
Modestas Bukauskas
"The Baltic Gladiator"
20 – 7
6'3"76" reachSwitch32 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 52
Marcin
Marcin Prachnio
17 – 9
Well-Rounded2-fight slide38 yrsOrthodox73" reach6'3"
CFR 43
★ Official Result
Modestas BukauskaswinsSubmissionR3 · 3:12
def. Marcin Prachnio · UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Bukauskas
→
Actual result
Bukauskas wins
Submission · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Bukauskas at 55% vs Prachnio at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Prachnio has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Bukauskas's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Prachnio has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
BukauskasPrachnio
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Bukauskas
Prachnio
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
76"+
Reach
73"
32+
Age
38
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Bukauskas
Prachnio
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.5
42.9
49.0
Performance Avg
34.0
41
Quality of Victory
33
81
Momentum Score
96
Bukauskas
Prachnio
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
2.2
43%
Strike Accuracy
53%
5.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.2
3 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
9
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance10
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Bukauskas
Prachnio
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.2
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
1.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
1.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Bukauskas
Prachnio
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
0
KO risk
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/27 fights
Chin rating based on
11/26 fights
Bukauskas
Prachnio
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
81
96
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
Bukauskas
Prachnio
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
25%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Bukauskas
Prachnio
Striking5.0 / 3.2Volume5.2 / 6.7Grappling2.2 / 1.8Wrestling1.5 / 1.3Submission1.3 / 0.0Pressure5.3 / 2.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.2
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.8
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.7
Bukauskas
Strike Zones
Prachnio
Bukauskas
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD1BODY0LEGS10 absorbed
Prachnio
Attacking
9HEAD1BODY0LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Bukauskas targets the head (100% of attacks) — Prachnio absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Prachnio targets the head (90% of attacks) — Bukauskas absorbs 90% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Bukauskas
RND
Prachnio
0/0R00/0

Bukauskas · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.0W3.0L6.5L3.7L5.5W4.5W3.9L5.9W5.0W4.8W5.7W5.2L4.5W2020-072023-022025-022026-05
WinLossTrend

Prachnio · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.1
0101.5L3.0L1.5L5.4W5.2W6.2L4.5W5.1L4.5W4.8L3.0L2018-022021-012023-022024-072025-07
WinLossTrend

Bukauskas · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Christian EdwardsRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · 2026-05
L · KO · R3
Nikita KrylovRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · KO · R1
Paul CraigRating 5.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Ion CutelabaRating 4.8
Decision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
W · KO · R1
Rafael CerqueiraRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02

Prachnio · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Jimmy CruteRating 3
Submission
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · Sub · R3
Modestas BukauskasRating 4.8
Submission
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Devin ClarkRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
L · Sub · R3
Vitor PetrinoRating 5.1
Submission
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07
W · Dec · R3
William KnightRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield · 2023-02

News & Media

Modestas Bukauskas · Marcin Prachnio
← Back to fights
DAFABETBet on UFC & MMA · Competitive odds on every main card
18+ · Gamble ResponsiblyBET NOW ↗
🥊 Bet Now
Our trusted bookmakers
Trusted Bookmakers
⚡
Cloudbet
Crypto sports betting
CRYPTO
🎁 New customer offer: 100% up to 5 BTC welcome bonus
BET NOW→
🎯
Dafabet
MMA & UFC specialist
SPORTS
🎁 New customer offer: Competitive odds on every main card
BET NOW→
🏙️
London Bet
The Capital's Choice
UK
🎁 New customer offer: New customer offer — great odds on MMA & UFC
BET NOW→
18+ · Gamble Responsibly. Odds shown are best available and subject to change. Combatrics may earn commission from bookmaker links. If gambling is affecting you, visit BeGambleAware.org.
🥊
Combatrics Support
Online · Usually replies quickly

👋 Got a question about a fighter, stat or fight? Drop us a message and we'll get back to you.

Combatrics

Powered by Combatrics · We typically reply within a few hours