UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes
Utica, USA
1 Jun 2018
Welterweight
VS
76%
Muhammad
24%
Rencountre
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Muhammad
Muhammad is a strong favourite at 76% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 39 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Muhammad has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Muhammad
Rencountre
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'2"
72"
Reach
+75"
37+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Muhammad
Rencountre
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
56.8
18.0
48.5
Performance Avg
43.7
31
Quality of Victory
40
100
Momentum Score
69
Muhammad
Rencountre
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
0.4
45%
Strike Accuracy
27%
2.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
2
3
Body
2
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
17Distance5
0Clinch0
3Ground0
Muhammad
Rencountre
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.5
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.6
0.7
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Muhammad
Rencountre
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
70
76
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
19 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/29 fights
Chin rating based on
4/18 fights
Muhammad
Rencountre
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
69
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Muhammad
Rencountre
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
20%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
12
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Muhammad
Rencountre
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
7.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
MuhammadRencountre
Strike Zones
Muhammad
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedRencountre
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Muhammad targets the head (80% of attacks) — Rencountre absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Rencountre targets the head (40% of attacks) — Muhammad absorbs 40% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Muhammad
RND
Rencountre
0/0R00/0
Muhammad · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Rencountre · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Muhammad · Last 5
Upcoming
Gabriel BonfimUFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
L · Dec · R3
Ian Machado GarryRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
L · Dec · R5
Jack Della MaddalenaRating 7Decision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
W · Dec · R5
Leon EdwardsRating 5.6Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · Dec · R5
Gilbert BurnsRating 4.7Decision
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05
Rencountre · Last 4
L · KO · R3
Lyman GoodRating 4KO/TKO
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11
W · Dec · R3
Ismail NaurdievRating 5Decision
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos · 2019-07
W · Sub · R1
Kyle StewartRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01
L · Dec · R3
Belal MuhammadRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes · 2018-06
