UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan
Austin, USA
2 Dec 2023
Middleweight
VS
61%
Soriano
39%
Stoltzfus
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:10
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Soriano
Soriano holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Stoltzfus has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Soriano has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Soriano's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Stoltzfus has a chin rating of 26 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Soriano
Stoltzfus
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
72"
Reach
+75"
33+
Age
34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Soriano
Stoltzfus
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.8
34.6
52.0
Performance Avg
38.9
44
Quality of Victory
45
64
Momentum Score
10
Soriano
Stoltzfus
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
1.2
55%
Strike Accuracy
46%
7.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.9
4 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
9
2
Body
6
2
Leg
8
RangeRange
9Distance23
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Soriano
Stoltzfus
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
0.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Soriano
Stoltzfus
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
26
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/17 fights
Chin rating based on
10/24 fights
Soriano
Stoltzfus
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
64
10
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
Soriano
Stoltzfus
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
67%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Soriano
Stoltzfus
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.9
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.3
SorianoStoltzfus
Strike Zones
Soriano
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedStoltzfus
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Soriano targets the head (56% of attacks) — Stoltzfus absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Stoltzfus targets the head (39% of attacks) — Soriano absorbs 39% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Soriano
RND
Stoltzfus
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Soriano · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Stoltzfus · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Soriano · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Ramiz BrahimajRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
W · Dec · R3
Nikolay VeretennikovRating 4.9Decision
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · KO · R1
Uros MedicRating 6.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
W · Dec · R3
Miguel BaezaRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
L · Sub · R2
Dustin StoltzfusRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
Stoltzfus · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Kelvin GastelumRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
L · Dec · R3
Nursulton RuziboevRating 7.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05
W · KO · R1
Marc-Andre BarriaultRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
L · KO · R1
Brunno FerreiraRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
W · Sub · R2
Punahele SorianoRating 6.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12