METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan
Austin, USA
2 Dec 2023
Middleweight
VS
59%
Soriano
41%
Stoltzfus
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:10
★ Official Result
Dustin StoltzfuswinsSubmissionR2 · 4:10
def. Punahele Soriano · UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Soriano
→
Actual result
Stoltzfus wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Soriano at 59% vs Stoltzfus at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Soriano's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Stoltzfus has a chin rating of 26 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SorianoStoltzfus
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Soriano
Stoltzfus
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
72"
Reach
+75"
33+
Age
34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Soriano
Stoltzfus
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
53.5
37.1
49.9
Performance Avg
42.1
44
Quality of Victory
46
64
Momentum Score
10
Soriano
Stoltzfus
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.9
/ 10
3.2
/ 10
5.8
Style: Pressure
6.3
4.6
Style: Volume
2.7
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
9
2
Body
6
2
Leg
8
RangeRange
9Distance23
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Soriano
Stoltzfus
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
/ 10
4.6
/ 10
0.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Soriano
Stoltzfus
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
26
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/17 fights
Chin rating based on
11/24 fights
Soriano
Stoltzfus
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
64
10
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Soriano
Stoltzfus
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
75%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
2
3
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Soriano
Stoltzfus
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.2
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.6
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.7
SorianoStoltzfus
Strike Zones
Soriano
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedStoltzfus
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Soriano targets the head (56% of attacks) — Stoltzfus absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Stoltzfus targets the head (39% of attacks) — Soriano absorbs 39% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Soriano
RND
Stoltzfus
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Soriano · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Daniil DonchenkoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse · 2026-09
W · Dec · R3
Ramiz BrahimajDecision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
W · Dec · R3
Nikolay VeretennikovDecision
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · KO · R1
Uros MedicKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
W · Dec · R3
Miguel BaezaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
Stoltzfus · Last 5
W · Sub · R2
Mansur Abdul-MalikSubmission
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry · 2026-08
L · Dec · R3
Kelvin GastelumDecision
Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
L · Dec · R3
Nursulton RuziboevDecision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05
W · KO · R1
Marc-Andre BarriaultKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
L · KO · R1
Brunno FerreiraKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06