METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Ngannou 2
Beijing, China
24 Nov 2018
Middleweight
VS
74%
Holland
26%
Phillips
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 4:05
JP
John Phillips
"The Welsh Wrecking Machine"
22 – 11
Knockout Artist2-fight slide41 yrsSouthpaw75" reach5'11"
CFR 17
★ Official Result
Kevin HollandwinsSubmissionR3 · 4:05
def. John Phillips · UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Ngannou 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Holland
→
Actual result
Holland wins
Submission · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Holland is a strong favourite at 74% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 30 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Phillips has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Risk flags
Holland's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Phillips has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HollandPhillips
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Holland
Phillips
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
5'11"
81"+
Reach
75"
33+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Holland
Phillips
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
47.0
16.7
49.3
Performance Avg
42.7
44
Quality of Victory
60
51
Momentum Score
33
Holland
Phillips
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.3
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
6.5
Style: Pressure
7.5
3.6
Style: Volume
0.3
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
1
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch0
14Ground1
Holland
Phillips
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.8
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
3.8
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
6
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Holland
Phillips
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
60
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
29/44 fights
Chin rating based on
6/33 fights
Holland
Phillips
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
33
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Holland
Phillips
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
69%
100%
5
KO / TKO Wins
1
6
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Holland
Phillips
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.3
HollandPhillips
Strike Zones
Holland
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedPhillips
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Holland targets the head (93% of attacks) — Phillips absorbs 93% of strikes there
🎯Phillips targets the head (100% of attacks) — Holland absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Holland
RND
Phillips
0/0R00/0
Holland · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
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Daniel RodriguezDecision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · Sub · R2
Vicente LuqueSubmission
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W · Dec · R3
Gunnar NelsonDecision
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Phillips · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
JunYong ParkDecision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie · 2020-10
L · Sub · R2
Khamzat ChimaevSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Ige · 2020-07
W · KO · R1
Alen AmedovskiKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Cannonier · 2019-09
L · Dec · R3
Jack MarshmanDecision
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvidal · 2019-03
L · Sub · R3
Kevin HollandSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Ngannou 2 · 2018-11