UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Ngannou 2
Beijing, China
24 Nov 2018
Middleweight
VS
74%
Holland
26%
Phillips
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 4:05
KH
Kevin Holland
"Trailblazer"
29 – 15
6'3"81" reachOrthodox33 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 47
JP
John Phillips
"The Welsh Wrecking Machine"
22 – 11
Knockout Artist2-fight slide40 yrsSouthpaw75" reach5'11"
CFR 17

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Holland

Holland is a strong favourite at 74% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 30 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Phillips has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.

Holland has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Holland's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Phillips has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Holland
Phillips
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
5'11"
81"+
Reach
75"
33+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Holland
Phillips
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
47.0
16.7
49.3
Performance Avg
42.7
44
Quality of Victory
60
51
Momentum Score
33
Holland
Phillips
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
0.3
52%
Strike Accuracy
29%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
5 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
1
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch0
14Ground1
Holland
Phillips
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
3.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
2.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Holland
Phillips
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
60
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
29/44 fights
Chin rating based on
6/33 fights
Holland
Phillips
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
33
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Holland
Phillips
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
69%
100%
5
KO / TKO Wins
1
6
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Holland
Phillips
Striking4.3 / 10.0Volume3.6 / 0.3Grappling3.8 / 0.0Wrestling2.6 / 0.0Submission3.8 / 0.0Pressure6.5 / 7.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.3
Holland
Strike Zones
Phillips
Holland
Attacking
13HEAD1BODY0LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Phillips
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD1BODY0LEGS14 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Holland targets the head (93% of attacks) — Phillips absorbs 93% of strikes there
🎯Phillips targets the head (100% of attacks) — Holland absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Holland
RND
Phillips
0/0R00/0

Holland · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.5L5.5W5.6W4.5W4.1L6.4W6.7W4.5W5.0W5.0W5.8L6.3L5.2W5.3W3.4L3.9L6.0W5.8W7.0L6.3L6.0W2.9L2.5L5.6W6.7W6.4L7.3L5.4W2018-082020-092022-092024-102026-04
WinLossTrend

Phillips · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0101.5L4.6L5.5L5.0W4.7L6.6L2018-032018-112019-032019-092020-072020-10
WinLossTrend

Holland · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Randy BrownRating 5.4
Decision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Mike MalottRating 7.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Daniel RodriguezRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · Sub · R2
Vicente LuqueRating 6.7
Submission
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Gunnar NelsonRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03

Phillips · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
JunYong ParkRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie · 2020-10
L · Sub · R2
Khamzat ChimaevRating 4.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Ige · 2020-07
W · KO · R1
Alen AmedovskiRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Cannonier · 2019-09
L · Dec · R3
Jack MarshmanRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvidal · 2019-03
L · Sub · R3
Kevin HollandRating 4.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Ngannou 2 · 2018-11

News & Media

Kevin Holland · John Phillips
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