UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno
Mexico City, Mexico
5 Aug 2017
Flyweight
VS
50%
Ortiz
50%
Sandoval
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:15
DO
Dustin Ortiz
19 – 8
5'5"65" reachOrthodox37 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 17
HS
Hector Sandoval
"Kid Alex"
14 – 4
Well-Rounded39 yrsOrthodox64" reach5'2"
CFR 17

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Ortiz

This is a genuine toss-up — Ortiz at 50% vs Sandoval at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Sandoval has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Sandoval has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Ortiz
Sandoval
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"+
Height
5'2"
65"+
Reach
64"
37+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ortiz
Sandoval
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.2
17.3
47.8
Performance Avg
45.5
42
Quality of Victory
43
45
Momentum Score
57
Ortiz
Sandoval
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
2.0
43%
Strike Accuracy
54%
6.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
1
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance1
0Clinch0
4Ground0
Ortiz
Sandoval
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
0.7
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Ortiz
Sandoval
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
66
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/27 fights
Chin rating based on
4/18 fights
Ortiz
Sandoval
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
57
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Ortiz
Sandoval
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
50%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Ortiz
Sandoval
Striking6.1 / 6.0Volume5.1 / 5.0Grappling1.2 / 1.2Wrestling0.8 / 0.8Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure5.2 / 5.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
Ortiz
Strike Zones
Sandoval
Ortiz
Attacking
7HEAD1BODY0LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Sandoval
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD1BODY0LEGS8 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Ortiz targets the head (88% of attacks) — Sandoval absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Sandoval targets the head (100% of attacks) — Ortiz absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Ortiz
RND
Sandoval
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Ortiz · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0105.5W5.5L4.5W4.5W5.5L5.5W5.5L5.5L4.5W3.6L5.0W5.8W5.2W5.5L2013-112014-112016-122018-072019-01
WinLossTrend

Sandoval · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.2
0101.5L4.5W5.2W1.5L2016-072016-122017-042017-08
WinLossTrend

Ortiz · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Joseph BenavidezRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01
W · KO · R1
Matheus NicolauRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · 2018-07
W · Dec · R3
Alexandre PantojaRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2018-01
W · KO · R1
Hector SandovalRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno · 2017-08
L · Sub · R2
Brandon MorenoRating 3.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov · 2017-04

Sandoval · Last 4

L · KO · R1
Dustin OrtizRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno · 2017-08
W · KO · R1
Matt SchnellRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov · 2017-04
W · Dec · R3
Fredy SerranoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · 2016-12
L · Sub · R1
Wilson ReisRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley · 2016-07

News & Media

Dustin Ortiz · Hector Sandoval
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