METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Flyweight
The Ultimate Fighter: Tournament of Champions Finale
Las Vegas, USA
3 Dec 2016
Flyweight
VS
41%
Johnson
59%
Elliott
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Demetrious JohnsonwinsDecisionR5 · 5:00
def. Tim Elliott · The Ultimate Fighter: Tournament of Champions Finale
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Elliott
→
Actual result
Johnson wins
Decision · R5
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Johnson at 41% vs Elliott at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Johnson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.
Risk flags
Elliott has a chin rating of 26 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
JohnsonElliott
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Johnson
Elliott
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'3"
Height
+5'7"
66"
Reach
66"
40
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Johnson
Elliott
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.2
36.9
69.9
Performance Avg
38.0
58
Quality of Victory
33
85
Momentum Score
43
Johnson
Elliott
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.1
/ 10
0.9
/ 10
5.9
Style: Pressure
3.5
6.0
Style: Volume
6.5
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
0
1
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Johnson
Elliott
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.0
/ 10
4.1
/ 10
2.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.9
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
3.0
5
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Johnson
Elliott
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
26
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
5
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/30 fights
Chin rating based on
23/36 fights
Johnson
Elliott
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
43
L · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R5
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R3
Johnson
Elliott
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
47%
30%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
5
Submission Wins
3
8
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Johnson
Elliott
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.1
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.9
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.0
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.5
JohnsonElliott
Strike Zones
Johnson
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedElliott
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Johnson targets the head (50% of attacks) — Elliott absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Elliott targets the body (100% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Johnson
RND
Elliott
0/0R00/0
Johnson · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Henry CejudoDecision
UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrandt 2 · 2018-08
W · Sub · R5
Ray BorgSubmission
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10
W · Sub · R3
Wilson ReisSubmission
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis · 2017-04
W · Dec · R5
Tim ElliottDecision
The Ultimate Fighter: Tournament of Champions Finale · 2016-12
W · KO · R1
Henry CejudoKO/TKO
UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux · 2016-04
Elliott · Last 5
Upcoming
Edgar ChairezNoche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado · 2026-09
L · Dec · R3
Steve ErcegDecision
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
W · Sub · R2
Kai AsakuraSubmission
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · Sub · R1
SumudaerjiSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12
L · Sub · R3
Muhammad MokaevSubmission
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10