METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura
Las Vegas, USA
7 Dec 2024
Featherweight
VS
56%
Mitchell
44%
Gracie
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 0:39
★ Official Result
Bryce MitchellwinsKO/TKOR3 · 0:39
def. Kron Gracie · UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Mitchell
→
Actual result
Mitchell wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Mitchell at 56% vs Gracie at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Gracie has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 22 points.
Risk flags
Mitchell's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MitchellGracie
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Mitchell
Gracie
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'9"
70"
Reach
70"
31+
Age
38
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Mitchell
Gracie
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
57.3
45.3
50.2
Performance Avg
42.4
32
Quality of Victory
54
100
Momentum Score
43
Mitchell
Gracie
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.5
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
4.4
Style: Pressure
7.8
7.1
Style: Volume
0.5
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
2
3
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
6Distance3
1Clinch0
3Ground0
Mitchell
Gracie
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.3
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
2.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
2.0
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
2
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Mitchell
Gracie
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
74
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/22 fights
Chin rating based on
4/8 fights
Mitchell
Gracie
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
43
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Mitchell
Gracie
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
30%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
1
7
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Mitchell
Gracie
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
4.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
MitchellGracie
Strike Zones
Mitchell
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedGracie
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Mitchell targets the head (70% of attacks) — Gracie absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Gracie targets the head (67% of attacks) — Mitchell absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Mitchell
RND
Gracie
0/0R00/0
Mitchell · Last 5
W · Sub · R3
Santiago LunaSubmission
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W · Dec · R3
Said NurmagomedovDecision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · Sub · R2
Jean SilvaSubmission
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · KO · R3
Kron GracieKO/TKO
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
L · KO · R1
Josh EmmettKO/TKO
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
Gracie · Last 4
L · KO · R3
Bryce MitchellKO/TKO
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
L · Dec · R3
Charles JourdainDecision
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05
L · Dec · R3
Cub SwansonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Waterson · 2019-10
W · Sub · R1
Alex CaceresSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02