UFC 82: Pride of a Champion
Columbus, USA
1 Mar 2008
Welterweight
VS
67%
Fitch
33%
Wilson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Fitch
Fitch holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Wilson has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Fitch has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Fitch
Wilson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
74"
Reach
+75"
48
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Fitch
Wilson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.0
10.4
52.4
Performance Avg
25.0
32
Quality of Victory
25
100
Momentum Score
33
Fitch
Wilson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
0.7
57%
Strike Accuracy
51%
2.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
5
2
Body
2
9
Leg
2
RangeRange
14Distance9
0Clinch0
7Ground0
Fitch
Wilson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
3.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
2.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Fitch
Wilson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
84
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/37 fights
Chin rating based on
4/28 fights
Fitch
Wilson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
33
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Fitch
Wilson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
10
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Fitch
Wilson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
3.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
7.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
FitchWilson
Strike Zones
Fitch
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedWilson
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Fitch targets the head (48% of attacks) — Wilson absorbs 48% of strikes there
🎯Wilson targets the head (56% of attacks) — Fitch absorbs 56% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Fitch
RND
Wilson
0/0R00/0
Fitch · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Wilson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Fitch · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Demian MaiaRating 5.5Decision
UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar · 2013-02
W · Dec · R3
Erick SilvaRating 4.5Decision
UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar · 2012-10
L · KO · R1
Johny HendricksRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem · 2011-12
Upcoming
BJ PennDecision
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch · 2011-02
W · Dec · R3
Thiago AlvesRating 4.5Decision
UFC 117: Silva vs Sonnen · 2010-08
Wilson · Last 4
L · Sub · R3
Mike PyleRating 4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Guillard · 2009-09
L · Dec · R3
John HowardRating 5.5Decision
UFC 94: St-Pierre vs Penn 2 · 2009-01
W · Dec · R3
Steve BrunoRating 4.5Decision
UFC 87: Seek And Destroy · 2008-08
L · Dec · R3
Jon FitchRating 5.5Decision
UFC 82: Pride of a Champion · 2008-03