UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Miller
Atlantic City, USA
16 Jul 2014
Bantamweight
VS
21%
Viana
79%
Sterling
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 3:50
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Sterling
Sterling is a strong favourite at 79% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 39 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Sterling has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Viana's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Sterling has a chin rating of 50 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Viana
Sterling
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'7"
67"
Reach
+71"
43
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Viana
Sterling
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.8
54.2
42.0
Performance Avg
54.2
37
Quality of Victory
38
45
Momentum Score
71
Viana
Sterling
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.4
42%
Strike Accuracy
52%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
26
0
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground28
Viana
Sterling
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.6
/ 10
3.2
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.2
0
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Viana
Sterling
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
50
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/12 fights
Chin rating based on
23/31 fights
Viana
Sterling
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
71
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Viana
Sterling
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
33%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
4
2
Decision Wins
12
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Viana
Sterling
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.7
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.2
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.5
VianaSterling
Strike Zones
Viana
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedSterling
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Sterling targets the head (93% of attacks) — Viana absorbs 93% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Viana
RND
Sterling
0/0R00/0
Viana · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Sterling · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Viana · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Guido CannettiRating 5.5Decision
UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia · 2015-08
L · KO · R3
Aljamain SterlingRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Miller · 2014-07
W · Dec · R3
Ramiro HernandezRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Thomson · 2014-01
L · KO · R1
TJ DillashawRating 1.6KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Melendez · 2013-04
W · KO · R1
Reuben DuranRating 5KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Carwin vs. Team Nelson Finale · 2012-12
Sterling · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Youssef ZalalRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
W · Dec · R5
Brian OrtegaRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Movsar EvloevRating 6.8Decision
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Calvin KattarRating 5Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
L · KO · R2
Sean O'MalleyRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08