★ Championship Bout · Heavyweight
UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasquez II
Las Vegas, USA
29 Dec 2012
Heavyweight
VS
42%
Santos
58%
Velasquez
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Velasquez
This is a genuine toss-up — Santos at 42% vs Velasquez at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Velasquez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Santos's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Velasquez has a chin rating of 44 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Santos
Velasquez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'1"
77"
Reach
77"
42+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Santos
Velasquez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.7
25.8
57.8
Performance Avg
69.4
53
Quality of Victory
62
59
Momentum Score
100
Santos
Velasquez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
2.6
50%
Strike Accuracy
59%
8.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
9.9
10 KOs
KO Finishes
10 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
10
6
Body
3
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
10Distance4
3Clinch2
0Ground7
Santos
Velasquez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.8
/ 10
0.4
/ 10
0.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Santos
Velasquez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
44
4 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
7
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.1 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
23/30 fights
Chin rating based on
15/17 fights
Santos
Velasquez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
100
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R5
W · KO · R1
Santos
Velasquez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
83%
10
KO / TKO Wins
10
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Santos
Velasquez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.9
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.4
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.2
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.9
SantosVelasquez
Strike Zones
Santos
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedVelasquez
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Santos targets the head (54% of attacks) — Velasquez absorbs 54% of strikes there
🎯Velasquez targets the head (77% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 77% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Santos
RND
Velasquez
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Santos · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Velasquez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Santos · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Ciryl GaneRating 4.5KO/TKO
UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno · 2020-12
L · KO · R2
Jairzinho RozenstruikRating 3.8KO/TKO
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · 2020-08
L · KO · R2
Curtis BlaydesRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos · 2020-01
L · KO · R1
Francis NgannouRating 1.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · KO · R2
Derrick LewisRating 6.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
Velasquez · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Francis NgannouRating 1.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
W · KO · R1
Travis BrowneRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes · 2016-07
L · Sub · R3
Fabricio WerdumRating 2.8Submission
UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum · 2015-06
W · KO · R5
Junior Dos SantosRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 166: Velasquez vs Dos Santos 3 · 2013-10
W · KO · R1
Antonio SilvaRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 160: Velasquez vs Silva 2 · 2013-05