UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira
Sao Paulo, Brazil
19 Nov 2016
Bantamweight
VS
61%
Eduardo
39%
Gamburyan
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 0:46
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Eduardo
Eduardo holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Gamburyan has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Eduardo has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Eduardo's chin rating of 40 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Gamburyan has a chin rating of 14 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Eduardo
Gamburyan
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'5"
71"+
Reach
67"
47
Age
+45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Eduardo
Gamburyan
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
23.2
15.1
43.0
Performance Avg
40.4
47
Quality of Victory
39
30
Momentum Score
63
Eduardo
Gamburyan
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
0.7
42%
Strike Accuracy
37%
7.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.9
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
0
0
Body
0
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance1
0Clinch0
10Ground0
Eduardo
Gamburyan
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
0.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
0.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Eduardo
Gamburyan
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
40
14
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/41 fights
Chin rating based on
15/25 fights
Eduardo
Gamburyan
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
63
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Eduardo
Gamburyan
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
3
1
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Eduardo
Gamburyan
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
3.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.9
EduardoGamburyan
Strike Zones
Eduardo
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedGamburyan
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Eduardo targets the head (79% of attacks) — Gamburyan absorbs 79% of strikes there
🎯Gamburyan targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Eduardo absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Eduardo
RND
Gamburyan
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Eduardo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Gamburyan · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Eduardo · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Alejandro PerezRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10
L · Sub · R2
Nathaniel WoodRating 3.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes · 2018-06
L · KO · R1
Matthew LopezRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway · 2017-06
W · KO · R2
Manvel GamburyanRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11
L · Sub · R2
Aljamain SterlingRating 3.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. VanZant · 2015-12
Gamburyan · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Johnny EduardoRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11
L · KO · R1
John DodsonRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans · 2016-04
W · Dec · R3
Scott JorgensenRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee · 2015-07
W · Sub · R2
Cody GibsonRating 5.5Submission
UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso · 2014-09
L · Dec · R3
Nik LentzRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva · 2014-05