UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hooker
Auckland, New Zealand
22 Feb 2020
Lightweight
VS
59%
Turner
41%
Culibao
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 3:01
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Turner
This is a genuine toss-up — Turner at 59% vs Culibao at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Turner has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 23 points.
Turner has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Turner's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Turner
Culibao
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
5'10"
77"+
Reach
73"
31+
Age
32
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Turner
Culibao
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.7
42.0
56.4
Performance Avg
37.0
56
Quality of Victory
33
65
Momentum Score
75
Turner
Culibao
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
3.1
1.1
51%
Strike Accuracy
46%
7.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.9
5 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
29
Head
3
4
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance4
3Clinch0
23Ground0
Turner
Culibao
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.0
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
2.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.0
3.8
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
3
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Turner
Culibao
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
72
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
7 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/24 fights
Chin rating based on
8/15 fights
Turner
Culibao
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
75
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Turner
Culibao
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
33%
5
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Turner
Culibao
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
8.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
1.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
TurnerCulibao
Strike Zones
Turner
Attacking
33 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedCulibao
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
33 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Turner targets the head (88% of attacks) — Culibao absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Culibao targets the head (75% of attacks) — Turner absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Turner
RND
Culibao
0/0R00/0
Turner · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Culibao · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Turner · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Edson BarbozaRating 5.5KO/TKO
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Culibao · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ricardo RamosRating 5.6Decision
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W · Dec · R3
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