★ Championship Bout · Interim Heavyweight
UFC 92: The Ultimate 2008
Las Vegas, USA
27 Dec 2008
Interim Heavyweight
VS
52%
Mir
48%
Nogueira
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:54
AR
CFR 19
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Mir
This is a genuine toss-up — Mir at 52% vs Nogueira at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Nogueira throws more volume but Mir connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Mir's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Nogueira has a chin rating of 8 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Mir
Nogueira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
79"+
Reach
77"
47+
Age
49
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Mir
Nogueira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.2
19.4
57.4
Performance Avg
49.3
56
Quality of Victory
52
88
Momentum Score
91
Mir
Nogueira
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.2
48%
Strike Accuracy
43%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.9
5 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
5Distance2
1Clinch0
2Ground0
Mir
Nogueira
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.7
4.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.2
3.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Mir
Nogueira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
8
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
8
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
27/29 fights
Chin rating based on
11/44 fights
Mir
Nogueira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
88
91
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R1
Mir
Nogueira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
81%
60%
5
KO / TKO Wins
1
8
Submission Wins
2
3
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Mir
Nogueira
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.9
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.2
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.9
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
2.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.1
MirNogueira
Strike Zones
Mir
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedNogueira
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Mir targets the head (100% of attacks) — Nogueira absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Nogueira targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Mir absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Mir
RND
Nogueira
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
0/0R20/0
Mir · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Nogueira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.5WinLossTrend
Mir · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Mark HuntRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Mir · 2016-03
L · Dec · R3
Andrei ArlovskiRating 6.2Decision
UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2 · 2015-09
W · KO · R1
Todd DuffeeRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee · 2015-07
W · KO · R1
Antonio SilvaRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Mir · 2015-02
L · Dec · R3
Alistair OvereemRating 5.5Decision
UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2 · 2014-02
Nogueira · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Stefan StruveRating 5.5Decision
UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia · 2015-08
L · KO · R1
Roy NelsonRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Minotauro vs Nelson · 2014-04
L · Sub · R2
Fabricio WerdumRating 2.1Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. Werdum · 2013-06
W · Sub · R2
Dave HermanRating 5.2Submission
UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar · 2012-10
L · Sub · R1
Frank MirRating 1.5Submission
UFC 140: Jones vs Machida · 2011-12