UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov
Albany, USA
9 Dec 2016
Welterweight
VS
98%
Brown
2%
Camozzi
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:25
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Brown
Brown is a strong favourite at 98% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 52 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Brown has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 39 points.
Brown has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Brown's chin rating of 4 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Camozzi has a chin rating of 44 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Brown
Camozzi
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'2"
78"
Reach
78"
35
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Brown
Camozzi
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
52.9
1.2
48.7
Performance Avg
0.0
39
Quality of Victory
0
92
Momentum Score
0
Brown
Camozzi
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
0.8
50%
Strike Accuracy
24%
4.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
2
0
Body
0
2
Leg
3
RangeRange
6Distance5
10Clinch0
4Ground0
Brown
Camozzi
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Brown
Camozzi
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
4
44
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/28 fights
Chin rating based on
3/12 fights
Brown
Camozzi
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
92
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
Brown
Camozzi
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Brown
Camozzi
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
BrownCamozzi
Strike Zones
Brown
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedCamozzi
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Brown targets the head (90% of attacks) — Camozzi absorbs 90% of strikes there
🎯Camozzi targets the legs (60% of attacks) — Brown absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Brown
RND
Camozzi
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Brown · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Camozzi · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.4WinLossTrend
Brown · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Kevin HollandRating 6.1Decision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
L · KO · R2
Gabriel BonfimRating 3.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · KO · R2
Nicolas DalbyRating 5.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Bryan BattleRating 7.3Decision
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosRating 5Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
Camozzi · Last 3
L · Sub · R1
Geoff NealRating 2.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros · 2018-02
L · KO · R3
Chad LapriseRating 4KO/TKO
UFC 213: Romero vs. Whittaker · 2017-07
L · KO · R2
Randy BrownRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov · 2016-12