UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo
Macau, China
23 Nov 2024
Light Heavyweight
VS
41%
Oezdemir
59%
Ulberg
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Volkan
Volkan Oezdemir
"No Time"
21 – 8
6'2"75" reachOrthodox36 yrsStriker
CFR 51
Carlos
Carlos Ulberg
"Black Jag"
15 – 1
Knockout Artist10-fight win streak35 yrsOrthodox77" reach6'4"
CFR 74

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Ulberg

This is a genuine toss-up — Oezdemir at 41% vs Ulberg at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Ulberg has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Oezdemir's chin rating of 36 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Oezdemir
Ulberg
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'4"
75"
Reach
+77"
36
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Oezdemir
Ulberg
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.6
73.9
50.8
Performance Avg
68.2
47
Quality of Victory
53
52
Momentum Score
100
Oezdemir
Ulberg
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
3.5
48%
Strike Accuracy
58%
6.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.8
5 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
28
Head
40
5
Body
4
6
Leg
1
RangeRange
39Distance45
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Oezdemir
Ulberg
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.7
/ 10
1.5
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
1.0
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Oezdemir
Ulberg
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
36
78
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
10 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/29 fights
Chin rating based on
11/16 fights
Oezdemir
Ulberg
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
100
Current form
10-fight 🔥 win streak
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Oezdemir
Ulberg
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
70%
5
KO / TKO Wins
6
1
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Oezdemir
Ulberg
Striking6.7 / 7.8Volume3.8 / 4.2Grappling1.7 / 1.5Wrestling1.2 / 1.1Submission1.1 / 1.0Pressure6.3 / 7.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.8
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.0
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.6
3.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.2
Oezdemir
Strike Zones
Ulberg
Oezdemir
Attacking
28HEAD5BODY6LEGS39 landed
Absorbing
40HEAD4BODY1LEGS45 absorbed
Ulberg
Attacking
40HEAD4BODY1LEGS45 landed
Absorbing
28HEAD5BODY6LEGS39 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Oezdemir targets the head (72% of attacks) — Ulberg absorbs 72% of strikes there
🎯Ulberg targets the head (89% of attacks) — Oezdemir absorbs 89% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Oezdemir
RND
Ulberg
0/0R00/0

Oezdemir · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.1W5.0W5.0W2.1L3.9L6.5L5.2W4.6W4.4L7.0L5.2W6.7L7.0W5.8W7.4L5.9W2017-022018-102020-072023-092025-11
WinLossTrend

Ulberg · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0104.0L4.5W5.0W5.0W5.0W6.1W5.9W5.3W5.1W6.0W6.7W2021-032022-112024-052025-092026-04
WinLossTrend

Oezdemir · Last 5

W · KO · R1
Alonzo MenifieldRating 5.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
L · Dec · R3
Carlos UlbergRating 7.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
W · KO · R1
Johnny WalkerRating 5.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
W · Sub · R1
Bogdan GuskovRating 7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac · 2023-09
L · Dec · R3
Nikita KrylovRating 6.7
Decision
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10

Ulberg · Last 5

W · KO · R1
Jiri ProchazkaRating 6.7
KO/TKO
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · KO · R1
Dominick ReyesRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Jan BlachowiczRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Volkan OezdemirRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
W · KO · R1
Alonzo MenifieldRating 5.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05

News & Media

Volkan Oezdemir · Carlos Ulberg
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