METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo
Macau, China
23 Nov 2024
Light Heavyweight
VS
41%
Oezdemir
59%
Ulberg
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Carlos UlbergwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Volkan Oezdemir · UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Ulberg
→
Actual result
Ulberg wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Oezdemir at 41% vs Ulberg at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Oezdemir's chin rating of 36 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
OezdemirUlberg
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Oezdemir
Ulberg
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'4"
75"
Reach
+77"
36
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Oezdemir
Ulberg
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.6
73.9
50.8
Performance Avg
68.2
47
Quality of Victory
53
52
Momentum Score
100
Oezdemir
Ulberg
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.7
/ 10
7.8
/ 10
6.3
Style: Pressure
7.6
3.8
Style: Volume
4.2
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
6 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
28
Head
40
5
Body
4
6
Leg
1
RangeRange
39Distance45
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Oezdemir
Ulberg
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
/ 10
1.5
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
1.0
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Oezdemir
Ulberg
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
36
78
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
10 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/29 fights
Chin rating based on
11/16 fights
Oezdemir
Ulberg
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
100
Current form
10-fight 🔥 win streak
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Oezdemir
Ulberg
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
70%
5
KO / TKO Wins
6
1
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Oezdemir
Ulberg
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.8
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.0
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.6
3.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.2
OezdemirUlberg
Strike Zones
Oezdemir
Attacking
39 landedAbsorbing
45 absorbedUlberg
Attacking
45 landedAbsorbing
39 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Oezdemir targets the head (72% of attacks) — Ulberg absorbs 72% of strikes there
🎯Ulberg targets the head (89% of attacks) — Oezdemir absorbs 89% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Oezdemir
RND
Ulberg
0/0R00/0
Oezdemir · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Alonzo MenifieldKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
L · Dec · R3
Carlos UlbergDecision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
W · KO · R1
Johnny WalkerKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
W · Sub · R1
Bogdan GuskovSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac · 2023-09
L · Dec · R3
Nikita KrylovDecision
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10
Ulberg · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Jiri ProchazkaKO/TKO
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · KO · R1
Dominick ReyesKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Jan BlachowiczDecision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Volkan OezdemirDecision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
W · KO · R1
Alonzo MenifieldKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05