UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Caceres
Salt Lake City, USA
6 Aug 2016
Heavyweight
VS
67%
Sherman
33%
Ledet
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Sherman
Sherman holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Ledet has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Sherman has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Sherman has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Sherman's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Ledet has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Sherman
Ledet
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"
Height
6'4"
78"
Reach
+80"
36+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Sherman
Ledet
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
30.1
14.5
38.4
Performance Avg
37.9
46
Quality of Victory
35
46
Momentum Score
53
Sherman
Ledet
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.4
1.0
50%
Strike Accuracy
35%
8.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.9
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
29
0
Body
0
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
10Distance29
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Sherman
Ledet
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.6
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
0.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Sherman
Ledet
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
52
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/28 fights
Chin rating based on
7/13 fights
Sherman
Ledet
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
53
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Sherman
Ledet
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
33%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Sherman
Ledet
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
0.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
0.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
2.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
ShermanLedet
Strike Zones
Sherman
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
29 absorbedLedet
Attacking
29 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Sherman targets the head (70% of attacks) — Ledet absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Ledet targets the head (100% of attacks) — Sherman absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Sherman
RND
Ledet
0/0R00/0
Sherman · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Ledet · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Sherman · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Karl WilliamsRating 6Decision
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L · KO · R1
Dustin JacobyRating 2.9KO/TKO
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