UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier
Las Vegas, USA
2 Jul 2022
Middleweight
VS
43%
Strickland
57%
Pereira
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:36
Sean
Sean Strickland
31 – 7
6'1"76" reachOrthodox35 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 58
Alex
Alex Pereira
"Poatan"
13 – 3
Knockout Artist38 yrsOrthodox79" reach6'4"
CFR 77

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Pereira

This is a genuine toss-up — Strickland at 43% vs Pereira at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Pereira has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 35 points.

Pereira has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Strickland's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Strickland
Pereira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'4"
76"
Reach
+79"
35+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Strickland
Pereira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
57.7
76.5
50.9
Performance Avg
76.4
37
Quality of Victory
72
100
Momentum Score
78
Strickland
Pereira
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
2.3
45%
Strike Accuracy
68%
4.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
9.7
5 KOs
KO Finishes
8 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
5
6
Body
12
0
Leg
8
RangeRange
15Distance25
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Strickland
Pereira
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.0
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.3
0.6
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strickland
Pereira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
46
76
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
9 fights ago
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/38 fights
Chin rating based on
13/16 fights
Strickland
Pereira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
78
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R4
W · KO · R2
Strickland
Pereira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
80%
5
KO / TKO Wins
8
1
Submission Wins
0
12
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Strickland
Pereira
Striking4.2 / 9.7Volume6.8 / 3.3Grappling2.0 / 0.5Wrestling1.4 / 0.3Submission0.6 / 0.0Pressure4.5 / 8.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.7
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.5
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.3
0.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.1
6.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.3
Strickland
Strike Zones
Pereira
Strickland
Attacking
9HEAD6BODY0LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD12BODY8LEGS25 absorbed
Pereira
Attacking
5HEAD12BODY8LEGS25 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD6BODY0LEGS15 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Strickland targets the head (60% of attacks) — Pereira absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Pereira targets the body (48% of attacks) — Strickland absorbs 48% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Strickland
RND
Pereira
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Strickland · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.0W4.5W6.0L4.5W5.5W4.5W6.6L4.7W2.0L5.2W4.5W6.6W4.5W4.5W5.4W3.6L6.5L5.9W5.9W5.9W7.4L5.5W7.4L6.7W6.4W2014-032017-112022-022024-062026-05
WinLossTrend

Pereira · QOF Timeline

Avg: 6.0
0105.2W5.8W6.1W6.9W3.5L5.1W6.8W6.3W6.8W6.3W7.0L6.5W2021-112022-112023-112024-102025-10
WinLossTrend

Strickland · Last 5

W · Dec · R5
Khamzat ChimaevRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · KO · R3
Anthony HernandezRating 6.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
L · Dec · R5
Dricus Du PlessisRating 7.4
Decision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
W · Dec · R5
Paulo CostaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
L · Dec · R5
Dricus Du PlessisRating 7.4
Decision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01

Pereira · Last 5

Upcoming
Ciryl Gane
UFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
W · KO · R1
Magomed AnkalaevRating 6.5
KO/TKO
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
L · Dec · R5
Magomed AnkalaevRating 7
Decision
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
W · KO · R4
Khalil Rountree Jr.Rating 6.3
KO/TKO
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · KO · R2
Jiri ProchazkaRating 6.8
KO/TKO
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06

News & Media

Sean Strickland · Alex Pereira
← Back to fights