UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee
Rochester, USA
18 May 2019
Lightweight
VS
24%
Green
76%
Jourdain
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Jourdain
Jourdain is a strong favourite at 76% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 35 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Jourdain has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Jourdain has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Green
Jourdain
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'9"
73"+
Reach
69"
36
Age
+30
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
Green
Jourdain
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.6
50.4
43.1
Performance Avg
48.6
34
Quality of Victory
44
41
Momentum Score
51
Green
Jourdain
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
2.4
46%
Strike Accuracy
50%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.4
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
4
5
Body
7
1
Leg
8
RangeRange
23Distance19
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Green
Jourdain
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.8
/ 10
4.4
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
4.4
0
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Green
Jourdain
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
56
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/31 fights
Chin rating based on
17/26 fights
Green
Jourdain
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
41
51
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Green
Jourdain
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
67%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
4
3
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Green
Jourdain
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.4
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.4
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.8
GreenJourdain
Strike Zones
Green
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedJourdain
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Green targets the head (75% of attacks) — Jourdain absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Jourdain targets the legs (42% of attacks) — Green absorbs 42% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Green
RND
Jourdain
0/0R00/0
Green · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Jourdain · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Green · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Charles JourdainRating 5.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05
W · KO · R1
Ross PearsonRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje · 2019-03
L · Dec · R3
Mairbek TaisumovRating 5.5Decision
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W · Dec · R3
Gleison TibauRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes · 2018-06
L · Dec · R3
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UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · 2018-02
Jourdain · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Kyler PhillipsRating 5.2Decision
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W · Sub · R2
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