UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
20 Jan 2021
Lightweight
VS
52%
Davis
48%
Jones
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Davis
This is a genuine toss-up — Davis at 52% vs Jones at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Jones throws more volume but Davis connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Davis
Jones
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'10"
72"
Reach
+74"
33
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Davis
Jones
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
57.4
54.0
53.1
Performance Avg
46.2
41
Quality of Victory
33
65
Momentum Score
80
Davis
Jones
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
2.0
56%
Strike Accuracy
45%
5.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.8
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
27
17
Body
11
4
Leg
2
RangeRange
33Distance36
4Clinch4
0Ground0
Davis
Jones
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.8
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Davis
Jones
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
96
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/15 fights
Chin rating based on
7/20 fights
Davis
Jones
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
80
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Davis
Jones
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
25%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Davis
Jones
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.8
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.3
DavisJones
Strike Zones
Davis
Attacking
37 landedAbsorbing
40 absorbedJones
Attacking
40 landedAbsorbing
37 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Davis targets the body (46% of attacks) — Jones absorbs 46% of strikes there
🎯Jones targets the head (68% of attacks) — Davis absorbs 68% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Davis
RND
Jones
0/0R00/0
Davis · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Jones · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.8WinLossTrend
Davis · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Mitch RamirezRating 5.2KO/TKO
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Jones · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Axel SolaRating 5.8Decision
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