METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Stephens
Orlando, USA
24 Feb 2018
Bantamweight
VS
27%
Morales
73%
Bermudez
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:33
MB
Manny Bermudez
"The Bermudez Triangle"
14 – 2
Submission Hunter2-fight slide32 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'10"
CFR 22
★ Official Result
Manny BermudezwinsSubmissionR2 · 2:33
def. Albert Morales · UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Stephens
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Bermudez
→
Actual result
Bermudez wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Bermudez is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Bermudez has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 28 points.
Bermudez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Morales's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MoralesBermudez
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Morales
Bermudez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
72"+
Reach
71"
35
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Morales
Bermudez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
8.1
22.4
23.0
Performance Avg
55.5
25
Quality of Victory
53
15
Momentum Score
72
Morales
Bermudez
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
2.2
34%
Strike Accuracy
61%
0.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.2
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
8
1
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
10Distance5
0Clinch0
1Ground3
Morales
Bermudez
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.5
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Morales
Bermudez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
86
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/11 fights
Chin rating based on
5/16 fights
Morales
Bermudez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
15
72
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
Morales
Bermudez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
3
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Morales
Bermudez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.2
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
0.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.8
8.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.2
MoralesBermudez
Strike Zones
Morales
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedBermudez
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Morales targets the head (82% of attacks) — Bermudez absorbs 82% of strikes there
🎯Bermudez targets the head (100% of attacks) — Morales absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Morales
RND
Bermudez
0/0R00/0
Morales · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Bermudez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Morales · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Manny BermudezRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Stephens · 2018-02
L · Dec · R3
Benito LopezRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega · 2017-12
L · Dec · R3
Brett JohnsRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Ponzinibbio · 2017-07
W · Dec · R3
Andre SoukhamthathRating 4.5Decision
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2 · 2017-03
L · KO · R2
Thomas AlmeidaRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11
Bermudez · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Charles RosaRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman · 2019-10
L · Dec · R3
Casey KenneyRating 5.5Decision
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
W · Sub · R1
Benito LopezRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
W · Sub · R1
Davey GrantRating 5.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · 2018-07
W · Sub · R2
Albert MoralesRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Stephens · 2018-02