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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Stephens
Orlando, USA
24 Feb 2018
Bantamweight
VS
27%
Morales
73%
Bermudez
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:33
AM
Albert Morales
"The Warrior"
74
5'9"72" reachOrthodox35 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 8
MB
Manny Bermudez
"The Bermudez Triangle"
142
Submission Hunter2-fight slide32 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'10"
CFR 22
★ Official Result
Manny BermudezwinsSubmissionR2 · 2:33
def. Albert Morales · UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Stephens

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Bermudez
Actual result
Bermudez wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis

Bermudez is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Bermudez has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 28 points.

Risk flags

Morales's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
MoralesBermudez
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Morales
Bermudez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
72"+
Reach
71"
35
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Morales
Bermudez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
8.1
22.4
23.0
Performance Avg
55.5
25
Quality of Victory
53
15
Momentum Score
72
Morales
Bermudez
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.4
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
0.6
Style: Pressure
8.8
8.4
Style: Volume
1.2
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
8
1
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
10Distance5
0Clinch0
1Ground3
Morales
Bermudez
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
0
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Morales
Bermudez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
86
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
6/11 fights
Chin rating based on
5/16 fights
Morales
Bermudez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
15
72
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
Morales
Bermudez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
3
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Morales
Bermudez
Striking0.4 / 1.2Volume8.4 / 1.2Grappling2.4 / 8.0Wrestling1.7 / 5.6Submission0.0 / 10.0Pressure0.6 / 8.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.2
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
0.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.8
8.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.2
Morales
Strike Zones
Bermudez
Morales
Attacking
9HEAD1BODY1LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD0BODY0LEGS8 absorbed
Bermudez
Attacking
8HEAD0BODY0LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD1BODY1LEGS11 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Morales targets the head (82% of attacks) — Bermudez absorbs 82% of strikes there
🎯Bermudez targets the head (100% of attacks) — Morales absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Morales
RND
Bermudez
0/0R00/0

Morales · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Manny Bermudez
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Stephens · 2018-02
L · Dec · R3
Benito Lopez
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega · 2017-12
L · Dec · R3
Brett Johns
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Ponzinibbio · 2017-07
W · Dec · R3
Andre Soukhamthath
Decision
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2 · 2017-03
L · KO · R2
Thomas Almeida
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11

Bermudez · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Charles Rosa
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman · 2019-10
L · Dec · R3
Casey Kenney
Decision
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
W · Sub · R1
Benito Lopez
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
W · Sub · R1
Davey Grant
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · 2018-07
W · Sub · R2
Albert Morales
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Stephens · 2018-02

News & Media

Albert Morales · Manny Bermudez
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