UFC Fight Night: Shields vs Ellenberger
New Orleans, USA
17 Sept 2011
Middleweight
VS
66%
McGee
34%
Yang
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: McGee
McGee holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Yang has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Yang has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.
Striking split: McGee throws more volume but Yang connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
McGee's chin rating of 14 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
McGee
Yang
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'10"
75"+
Reach
73"
41
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
McGee
Yang
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
38.7
20.1
40.1
Performance Avg
49.0
36
Quality of Victory
55
50
Momentum Score
52
McGee
Yang
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.5
39%
Strike Accuracy
53%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
17
4
Body
0
3
Leg
3
RangeRange
17Distance20
4Clinch0
4Ground0
McGee
Yang
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
3.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
McGee
Yang
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
14
94
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/37 fights
Chin rating based on
5/16 fights
McGee
Yang
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
52
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
McGee
Yang
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
27%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
3
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
McGee
Yang
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
3.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.2
6.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.8
McGeeYang
Strike Zones
McGee
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedYang
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯McGee targets the head (72% of attacks) — Yang absorbs 72% of strikes there
🎯Yang targets the head (85% of attacks) — McGee absorbs 85% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
McGee
RND
Yang
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
McGee · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Yang · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
McGee · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Michael ChiesaRating 6.3Decision
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