UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
11 Oct 2025
Heavyweight
VS
41%
Diniz
59%
Pinto
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:10
Jhonata
Jhonata Diniz
9 – 2
6'4"79" reachOrthodox34 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 52
Mario
Mario Pinto
12 – 0
Knockout Artist3-fight win streak28 yrsOrthodox79" reach6'5"
CFR 74

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Pinto

This is a genuine toss-up — Diniz at 41% vs Pinto at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Pinto has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.

Striking split: Diniz throws more volume but Pinto connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Diniz
Pinto
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"
Height
+6'5"
79"
Reach
79"
34
Age
+28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Diniz
Pinto
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.5
74.0
45.0
Performance Avg
67.0
35
Quality of Victory
45
74
Momentum Score
100
Diniz
Pinto
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.1
60%
Strike Accuracy
78%
4.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
17
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground17
Diniz
Pinto
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.6
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Diniz
Pinto
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
100
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/11 fights
Chin rating based on
3/12 fights
Diniz
Pinto
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
74
100
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Upcoming
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
Diniz
Pinto
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
67%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Diniz
Pinto
Striking4.5 / 8.7Volume6.5 / 4.7Grappling1.6 / 0.8Wrestling1.1 / 0.6Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.1 / 7.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.7
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.7
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.7
Diniz
Strike Zones
Pinto
Diniz
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
17HEAD0BODY0LEGS17 absorbed
Pinto
Attacking
17HEAD0BODY0LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Pinto targets the head (100% of attacks) — Diniz absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Diniz
RND
Pinto
0/0R00/0

Diniz · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.2W5.0W5.1L4.5W4.7L2024-042024-082024-112025-062025-10
WinLossTrend

Pinto · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.2W6.1W4.5W2025-032025-102026-03
WinLossTrend

Diniz · Last 5

Upcoming
Jose Montanha
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
L · KO · R2
Mario PintoRating 4.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Alvin HinesRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
L · R2
Marcin TyburaRating 5.1
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
W · Dec · R3
Karl WilliamsRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08

Pinto · Last 3

W · Dec · R3
Felipe FrancoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
W · KO · R2
Jhonata DinizRating 6.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
W · KO · R2
Austen LaneRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03

News & Media

Jhonata Diniz · Mario Pinto
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