UFC 185: Pettis vs Dos Anjos
Dallas, USA
14 Mar 2015
Lightweight
VS
58%
Pearson
42%
Stout
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:33
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Pearson
This is a genuine toss-up — Pearson at 58% vs Stout at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Pearson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Striking split: Stout throws more volume but Pearson connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Pearson's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Stout has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Pearson
Stout
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'9"
69"
Reach
+70"
41+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pearson
Stout
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.0
12.3
44.3
Performance Avg
35.3
42
Quality of Victory
29
89
Momentum Score
60
Pearson
Stout
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.6
44%
Strike Accuracy
28%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
2
1
Body
1
3
Leg
2
RangeRange
8Distance5
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Pearson
Stout
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.1
1.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Pearson
Stout
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
KO risk
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/36 fights
Chin rating based on
20/32 fights
Pearson
Stout
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
89
60
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Pearson
Stout
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
11%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pearson
Stout
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.0
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.1
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.0
PearsonStout
Strike Zones
Pearson
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedStout
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pearson targets the head (60% of attacks) — Stout absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Stout targets the head (40% of attacks) — Pearson absorbs 40% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pearson
RND
Stout
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Pearson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Stout · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Pearson · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Desmond GreenRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje · 2019-03
L · Dec · R3
John MakdessiRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · 2018-07
W · Dec · R3
Mizuto HirotaRating 4.5Decision
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · 2018-02
L · KO · R2
Dan HookerRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt · 2017-06
L · Dec · R3
Stevie RayRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 · 2016-11
Stout · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Frankie PerezRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira · 2015-08
L · KO · R2
Ross PearsonRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 185: Pettis vs Dos Anjos · 2015-03
L · KO · R1
KJ NoonsRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Kennedy · 2014-04
W · Dec · R3
Cody McKenzieRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Benavidez 2 · 2013-12
L · Sub · R3
James KrauseRating 4Submission
UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson · 2013-06