UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3
Sao Paulo, Brazil
7 Nov 2015
Light Heavyweight
VS
48%
Maldonado
52%
Anderson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Anderson
This is a genuine toss-up — Maldonado at 48% vs Anderson at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Maldonado has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Maldonado's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Anderson has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Maldonado
Anderson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'3"
75"
Reach
+79"
46
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Maldonado
Anderson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.5
18.8
39.8
Performance Avg
50.1
36
Quality of Victory
39
81
Momentum Score
98
Maldonado
Anderson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.4
1.4
63%
Strike Accuracy
47%
4.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.3
2 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
13
1
Body
3
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
2Distance11
3Clinch7
0Ground0
Maldonado
Anderson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.4
/ 10
1.7
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Maldonado
Anderson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
10
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/34 fights
Chin rating based on
15/19 fights
Maldonado
Anderson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
81
98
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Maldonado
Anderson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
30%
2
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Maldonado
Anderson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.1
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.9
MaldonadoAnderson
Strike Zones
Maldonado
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedAnderson
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Maldonado targets the head (80% of attacks) — Anderson absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Anderson targets the head (72% of attacks) — Maldonado absorbs 72% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Maldonado
RND
Anderson
0/0R00/0
Maldonado · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Anderson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Maldonado · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Corey AndersonRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 · 2015-11
L · Dec · R3
Quinton JacksonRating 5.5Decision
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi · 2015-04
W · KO · R2
Hans StringerRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2 · 2014-10
L · KO · R1
Stipe MiocicRating 2.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Maldonado · 2014-05
W · Dec · R3
Gian VillanteRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Henderson 2 · 2014-03
Anderson · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Jan BlachowiczRating 2.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02
W · KO · R1
Johnny WalkerRating 5.8KO/TKO
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11
W · Dec · R3
Ilir LatifiRating 4.5Decision
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
W · Dec · R3
Glover TeixeiraRating 4.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · 2018-07
W · Dec · R3
Patrick CumminsRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee · 2018-04