UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arlovski
Brasilia, Brazil
13 Sept 2014
Welterweight
VS
97%
Ponzinibbio
3%
Marques
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:20
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Ponzinibbio
Ponzinibbio is a strong favourite at 97% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 44 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Ponzinibbio has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 44 points.
Ponzinibbio has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Ponzinibbio's chin rating of 4 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Marques has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Ponzinibbio
Marques
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'10"
73"
Reach
39+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ponzinibbio
Marques
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.7
1.6
50.5
Performance Avg
0.0
44
Quality of Victory
0
46
Momentum Score
0
Ponzinibbio
Marques
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
0.8
45%
Strike Accuracy
29%
7.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
7 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
4
0
Body
0
0
Leg
4
RangeRange
9Distance8
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Ponzinibbio
Marques
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ponzinibbio
Marques
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
4
56
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/40 fights
Chin rating based on
2/39 fights
Ponzinibbio
Marques
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Ponzinibbio
Marques
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
58%
0%
7
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ponzinibbio
Marques
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
PonzinibbioMarques
Strike Zones
Ponzinibbio
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedMarques
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ponzinibbio targets the head (100% of attacks) — Marques absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Marques targets the head (50% of attacks) — Ponzinibbio absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ponzinibbio
RND
Marques
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Ponzinibbio · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Marques · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.4WinLossTrend
Ponzinibbio · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Daniel RodriguezRating 4.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · KO · R3
Carlston HarrisRating 6.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
L · Dec · R3
Muslim SalikhovRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
L · KO · R3
Kevin HollandRating 4.6KO/TKO
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · 2023-04
W · KO · R3
Alex MoronoRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · 2022-12
Marques · Last 2
L · KO · R2
Darren TillRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Alves · 2015-05
L · KO · R1
Santiago PonzinibbioRating 2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arlovski · 2014-09