UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Caceres
Salt Lake City, USA
6 Aug 2016
Featherweight
VS
39%
Bermudez
61%
Jason
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Jason
Jason holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Bermudez has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Jason has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 34 points.
Bermudez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Bermudez's chin rating of 26 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Bermudez
Jason
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'7"
66"
Reach
+73"
39+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Bermudez
Jason
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.4
22.8
43.2
Performance Avg
60.4
33
Quality of Victory
67
50
Momentum Score
72
Bermudez
Jason
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
1.0
46%
Strike Accuracy
45%
2.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
4
2
Body
0
7
Leg
0
RangeRange
9Distance3
1Clinch1
7Ground0
Bermudez
Jason
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.6
2.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Bermudez
Jason
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
26
72
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/26 fights
Chin rating based on
9/21 fights
Bermudez
Jason
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
72
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Bermudez
Jason
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
30%
75%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
1
7
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Bermudez
Jason
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
6.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.0
BermudezJason
Strike Zones
Bermudez
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedJason
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Bermudez targets the head (47% of attacks) — Jason absorbs 47% of strikes there
🎯Jason targets the head (100% of attacks) — Bermudez absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Bermudez
RND
Jason
0/0R00/0
Bermudez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Jason · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Bermudez · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Te EdwardsRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01
L · Dec · R3
Ricky GlennRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
L · Dec · R3
Andre FiliRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Brunson 2 · 2018-01
L · Dec · R3
Darren ElkinsRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum · 2017-07
L · KO · R1
Chan Sung JungRating 2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. The Korean Zombie · 2017-02
Jason · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jeremy KennedyRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Gastelum · 2017-03
L · Dec · R3
Dennis BermudezRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Caceres · 2016-08
Upcoming
Damon JacksonUFC Fight Night: Condit vs Alves · 2015-05
L · Dec · R3
Robert PeraltaRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Maldonado · 2014-05
W · KO · R1
Steven SilerRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Henderson 2 · 2014-03