UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes
Las Vegas, USA
22 Apr 2023
Bantamweight
VS
45%
Yahya
55%
Jackson
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:42
Rani
Rani Yahya
28 – 12
5'6"67" reachOrthodox41 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 42
Montel
Montel Jackson
"Quik"
15 – 4
Well-Rounded2-fight slide34 yrsSouthpaw75" reach5'10"
CFR 52

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Jackson

This is a genuine toss-up — Yahya at 45% vs Jackson at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Jackson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Yahya's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Yahya
Jackson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'10"
67"
Reach
+75"
41
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Yahya
Jackson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
42.3
52.4
50.5
Performance Avg
51.6
39
Quality of Victory
40
39
Momentum Score
48
Yahya
Jackson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.5
1.1
38%
Strike Accuracy
55%
1.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
7
1
Body
1
5
Leg
1
RangeRange
7Distance5
0Clinch0
0Ground4
Yahya
Jackson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
5.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.2
3.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Yahya
Jackson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
92
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/40 fights
Chin rating based on
13/19 fights
Yahya
Jackson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
48
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Upcoming
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Yahya
Jackson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
54%
44%
0
KO / TKO Wins
3
7
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Yahya
Jackson
Striking1.4 / 4.7Volume5.1 / 5.8Grappling5.4 / 2.2Wrestling3.8 / 1.6Submission5.4 / 1.1Pressure5.8 / 5.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.7
5.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.2
3.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
5.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.2
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.8
Yahya
Strike Zones
Jackson
Yahya
Attacking
1HEAD1BODY5LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD1BODY1LEGS9 absorbed
Jackson
Attacking
7HEAD1BODY1LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD1BODY5LEGS7 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Yahya targets the legs (71% of attacks) — Jackson absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Jackson targets the head (78% of attacks) — Yahya absorbs 78% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Yahya
RND
Jackson
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Yahya · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0104.5W5.5L5.0W4.5W4.5W5.5L5.2W4.5W5.5W4.5W5.5L5.0W5.5W5.0W6.2L5.2W5.4W2.4L4.9L2011-012013-112017-032021-032024-04
WinLossTrend

Jackson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0106.2L5.3W4.5W4.5W5.5L5.0W4.5W5.2W5.4W6.0W5.8W6.6L6.3L2018-082020-072023-042026-04
WinLossTrend

Yahya · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Victor HenryRating 4.9
KO/TKO
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L · KO · R1
Montel JacksonRating 2.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes · 2023-04
W · Dec · R3
Kyung Ho KangRating 5.4
Decision
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W · Sub · R2
Ray RodriguezRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad · 2021-03
Upcoming
Enrique Barzola
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03

Jackson · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Raoni BarcelosRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Daniel MarcosRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · KO · R1
Da'Mon BlackshearRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
W · KO · R1
Rani YahyaRating 5.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes · 2023-04

News & Media

Rani Yahya · Montel Jackson
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