METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
13 Oct 2012
Welterweight
VS
55%
Fitch
45%
Silva
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Jon FitchwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Erick Silva · UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Fitch
→
Actual result
Fitch wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Fitch at 55% vs Silva at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Silva has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 22 points.
Risk flags
Silva has a chin rating of 4 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
FitchSilva
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Fitch
Silva
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
74"
Reach
74"
48
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Fitch
Silva
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.0
17.5
52.4
Performance Avg
51.3
32
Quality of Victory
54
100
Momentum Score
46
Fitch
Silva
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
3.8
/ 10
4.5
Style: Pressure
8.4
7.4
Style: Volume
0.9
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
57
Head
0
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
1Clinch0
56Ground0
Fitch
Silva
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.4
/ 10
5.7
/ 10
2.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
4.0
2.1
Submission Style (/10)
7.1
3
Submission wins
5
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Fitch
Silva
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
4
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/37 fights
Chin rating based on
15/28 fights
Fitch
Silva
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
46
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Fitch
Silva
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
3
Submission Wins
5
10
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Fitch
Silva
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.8
3.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.7
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.0
2.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
7.1
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.4
7.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.9
FitchSilva
Strike Zones
Fitch
Attacking
58 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedSilva
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
58 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Fitch targets the head (98% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 98% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Fitch
RND
Silva
0/0R00/0
Fitch · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Demian MaiaDecision
UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar · 2013-02
W · Dec · R3
Erick SilvaDecision
UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar · 2012-10
L · KO · R1
Johny HendricksKO/TKO
UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem · 2011-12
Upcoming
BJ PennDecision
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch · 2011-02
W · Dec · R3
Thiago AlvesDecision
UFC 117: Silva vs Sonnen · 2010-08
Silva · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jordan MeinDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos · 2017-12
L · KO · R2
Yancy MedeirosKO/TKO
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway · 2017-06
W · Sub · R3
Luan ChagasSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lansberg · 2016-09
L · KO · R2
Nordine TalebKO/TKO
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz · 2016-03
L · Dec · R3
Neil MagnyDecision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira · 2015-08