METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 47: It's On!
Las Vegas, USA
2 Apr 2004
Welterweight
VS
42%
Diaz
58%
Lawler
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:31
★ Official Result
Nick DiazwinsKO/TKOR2 · 1:31
def. Robbie Lawler · UFC 47: It's On!
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Lawler
→
Actual result
Diaz wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Diaz at 42% vs Lawler at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Lawler has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Diaz's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Lawler has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
DiazLawler
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Diaz
Lawler
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'11"
76"+
Reach
74"
42+
Age
44
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Diaz
Lawler
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
28.9
40.7
49.6
Performance Avg
51.0
49
Quality of Victory
45
46
Momentum Score
90
Diaz
Lawler
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
1.3
41%
Strike Accuracy
50%
6.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.5
4 KOs
KO Finishes
8 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
3
0
Body
1
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance4
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Diaz
Lawler
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.1
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Diaz
Lawler
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
0
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/36 fights
Chin rating based on
25/46 fights
Diaz
Lawler
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
90
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Diaz
Lawler
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
86%
53%
4
KO / TKO Wins
8
2
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Diaz
Lawler
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.5
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.1
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
2.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
2.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.9
DiazLawler
Strike Zones
Diaz
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedLawler
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Diaz targets the head (60% of attacks) — Lawler absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Lawler targets the head (75% of attacks) — Diaz absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Diaz
RND
Lawler
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Diaz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Lawler · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Diaz · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Robbie LawlerRating 3KO/TKO
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
Upcoming
Anderson SilvaUFC 183: Silva vs Diaz · 2015-01
L · Dec · R5
Georges St-PierreRating 5.5Decision
UFC 158: St-Pierre vs Diaz · 2013-03
L · Dec · R5
Carlos ConditRating 5.5Decision
UFC 143: Diaz vs Condit · 2012-02
W · Dec · R3
BJ PennRating 4.5Decision
UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz · 2011-10
Lawler · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Niko PriceRating 5.7KO/TKO
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07
L · KO · R2
Bryan BarberenaRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07
W · KO · R3
Nick DiazRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
L · Dec · R3
Neil MagnyRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · 2020-08
L · Dec · R5
Colby CovingtonRating 6.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler · 2019-08