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UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos
Raleigh, USA
25 Jan 2020
Heavyweight
VS
74%
Blaydes
26%
Santos
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 Β· 1:06
Curtis
Curtis Blaydes
"Razor"
19 – 6
6'4"80" reachOrthodox35 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 54
JD
Junior Dos Santos
"Cigano"
21 – 9
Striker4-fight slide42 yrsOrthodox77" reach6'4"
CFR 19
β˜… Official Result
Curtis BlaydeswinsKO/TKOR2 Β· 1:06
def. Junior Dos Santos Β· UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis Β· prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Blaydes
β†’
Actual result
Blaydes wins
KO/TKO Β· R2
Pre-fight analysis

Blaydes is a strong favourite at 74% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 35 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Santos has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition β€” a QoV edge of 11 points.

Striking split: Santos throws more volume but Blaydes connects at a higher rate β€” quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Blaydes's chin rating of 8 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Santos has a chin rating of 0 β€” a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight β€” Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
BlaydesSantos
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
β€”
Strike Accuracy
β€”
Blaydes
Santos
Physical Matchup
Height Β· Reach Β· Age Β· Stance
6'4"
Height
6'4"
80"+
Reach
77"
35+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Blaydes
Santos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
53.9
18.7
53.4
Performance Avg
57.8
42
Quality of Victory
53
81
Momentum Score
59
Blaydes
Santos
Striking
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
1.6
1.6
56%
Strike Accuracy
50%
6.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.0
7 KOs
KO Finishes
10 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
1
1
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
5Distance2
9Clinch0
0Ground0
Blaydes
Santos
Grappling
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
1.0
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
0.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Blaydes
Santos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
8
0
KO risk
Verdict
4 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
7
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.1 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
β€”
Strikes absorbed / min
β€”
21/25 fights
Chin rating based on
23/30 fights
Blaydes
Santos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance β€” most recent weighted 30%
81
59
Current form
4-fight πŸ“‰ slide
L Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· KO Β· R1
W Β· KO Β· R2
L Β· KO Β· R1
Last 5
L Β· KO Β· R2
L Β· KO Β· R2
L Β· KO Β· R2
L Β· KO Β· R1
W Β· KO Β· R2
Blaydes
Santos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
67%
7
KO / TKO Wins
10
0
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar β€” 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Blaydes
Santos
Striking6.4 / 8.0Volume4.8 / 4.0Grappling1.0 / 0.8Wrestling0.7 / 0.6Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure5.6 / 6.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.0
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.6
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
Blaydes
Strike Zones
Santos
Blaydes
Attacking
12HEAD1BODY1LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY1LEGS2 absorbed
Santos
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY1LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD1BODY1LEGS14 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Blaydes targets the head (86% of attacks) β€” Santos absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Santos targets the head (50% of attacks) β€” Blaydes absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight Β· per-round breakdown

Blaydes
RND
Santos
0/0R00/0

Blaydes Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.2L5.2W4.5W4.2W4.5W5.5W1.9L4.5W5.2W5.1W5.8W3.3L5.6W5.5W7.4W2.7L7.0W3.9L4.8W7.5L2016-042018-062020-062023-042026-04
WinLossTrend

Santos Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.0W5.0W5.5W5.0W5.0W4.5W4.5W5.0W5.1W5.5L5.5W4.0L5.6W2.8L4.5W2.6L4.5W5.5W6.3W1.9L3.1L3.8L4.5L2008-102011-062014-122019-032020-12
WinLossTrend

Blaydes Β· Last 5

L Β· Dec Β· R3
Josh HokitRating 7.5
Decision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg Β· 2026-04
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Rizvan KunievRating 4.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. Β· 2025-06
L Β· KO Β· R1
Tom AspinallRating 3.9
KO/TKO
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 Β· 2024-07
W Β· KO Β· R2
Jailton AlmeidaRating 7
KO/TKO
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 Β· 2024-03
L Β· KO Β· R1
Sergei PavlovichRating 2.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes Β· 2023-04

Santos Β· Last 5

L Β· KO Β· R2
Ciryl GaneRating 4.5
KO/TKO
UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno Β· 2020-12
L Β· KO Β· R2
Jairzinho RozenstruikRating 3.8
KO/TKO
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 Β· 2020-08
L Β· KO Β· R2
Curtis BlaydesRating 3.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos Β· 2020-01
L Β· KO Β· R1
Francis NgannouRating 1.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos Β· 2019-06
W Β· KO Β· R2
Derrick LewisRating 6.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos Β· 2019-03

News & Media

Curtis Blaydes Β· Junior Dos Santos
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