UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos
Raleigh, USA
25 Jan 2020
Heavyweight
VS
74%
Blaydes
26%
Santos
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:06
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Blaydes
Blaydes is a strong favourite at 74% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 35 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Santos has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Striking split: Santos throws more volume but Blaydes connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Blaydes's chin rating of 8 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Santos has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Blaydes
Santos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"
Height
6'4"
80"+
Reach
77"
35+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Blaydes
Santos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
53.9
18.7
53.4
Performance Avg
57.8
42
Quality of Victory
53
81
Momentum Score
59
Blaydes
Santos
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.6
56%
Strike Accuracy
50%
6.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.0
7 KOs
KO Finishes
10 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
1
1
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
5Distance2
9Clinch0
0Ground0
Blaydes
Santos
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.0
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
0.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Blaydes
Santos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
8
0
KO risk
Verdict
4 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
7
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.1 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/25 fights
Chin rating based on
23/30 fights
Blaydes
Santos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
81
59
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Blaydes
Santos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
67%
7
KO / TKO Wins
10
0
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Blaydes
Santos
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.0
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.6
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
BlaydesSantos
Strike Zones
Blaydes
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedSantos
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Blaydes targets the head (86% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Santos targets the head (50% of attacks) — Blaydes absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Blaydes
RND
Santos
0/0R00/0
Blaydes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Santos · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Blaydes · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Josh HokitRating 7.5Decision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Rizvan KunievRating 4.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
L · KO · R1
Tom AspinallRating 3.9KO/TKO
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · KO · R2
Jailton AlmeidaRating 7KO/TKO
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · KO · R1
Sergei PavlovichRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes · 2023-04
Santos · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Ciryl GaneRating 4.5KO/TKO
UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno · 2020-12
L · KO · R2
Jairzinho RozenstruikRating 3.8KO/TKO
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · 2020-08
L · KO · R2
Curtis BlaydesRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos · 2020-01
L · KO · R1
Francis NgannouRating 1.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · KO · R2
Derrick LewisRating 6.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03