UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller
East Rutherford, USA
5 May 2012
Featherweight
VS
44%
Bermudez
56%
Garza
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Garza
This is a genuine toss-up — Bermudez at 44% vs Garza at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Garza has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Bermudez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Bermudez's chin rating of 26 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Bermudez
Garza
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+6'1"
66"
Reach
+73"
39+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Bermudez
Garza
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.4
18.2
43.2
Performance Avg
47.8
33
Quality of Victory
46
50
Momentum Score
53
Bermudez
Garza
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
1.3
46%
Strike Accuracy
45%
2.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.3
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
2
1
Body
3
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance3
0Clinch0
10Ground2
Bermudez
Garza
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
3.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
2.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Bermudez
Garza
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
26
74
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/26 fights
Chin rating based on
6/16 fights
Bermudez
Garza
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
53
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
Bermudez
Garza
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
30%
67%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
1
7
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Bermudez
Garza
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.2
6.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.7
BermudezGarza
Strike Zones
Bermudez
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedGarza
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Bermudez targets the head (83% of attacks) — Garza absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Garza targets the body (60% of attacks) — Bermudez absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Bermudez
RND
Garza
0/0R00/0
Bermudez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Garza · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Bermudez · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Te EdwardsRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01
L · Dec · R3
Ricky GlennRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
L · Dec · R3
Andre FiliRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Brunson 2 · 2018-01
L · Dec · R3
Darren ElkinsRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum · 2017-07
L · KO · R1
Chan Sung JungRating 2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. The Korean Zombie · 2017-02
Garza · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Diego BrandaoRating 1.5Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Mousasi vs Latifi · 2013-04
W · Dec · R3
Mark HominickRating 4.5Decision
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit · 2012-11
L · Dec · R3
Dennis BermudezRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller · 2012-05
L · Sub · R2
Dustin PoirierRating 4.1Submission
UFC on FOX: Velasquez vs Dos Santos · 2011-11
W · Sub · R1
Yves JabouinRating 5Submission
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04