METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle
Milwaukee, USA
14 Aug 2011
Lightweight
VS
48%
Volkmann
52%
Castillo
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Jacob VolkmannwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Danny Castillo · UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Castillo
→
Actual result
Volkmann wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Volkmann at 48% vs Castillo at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Castillo has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Volkmann's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Castillo has a chin rating of 46 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
VolkmannCastillo
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Volkmann
Castillo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
5'9"
71"
Reach
71"
45+
Age
46
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Volkmann
Castillo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.1
17.2
41.9
Performance Avg
40.6
30
Quality of Victory
34
70
Momentum Score
89
Volkmann
Castillo
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.5
0.9
37%
Strike Accuracy
44%
1.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.9
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
0
1
Body
7
0
Leg
8
RangeRange
2Distance4
0Clinch0
2Ground11
Volkmann
Castillo
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.7
2.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Volkmann
Castillo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
46
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
3
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/26 fights
Chin rating based on
14/27 fights
Volkmann
Castillo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
70
89
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Volkmann
Castillo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
17%
29%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Volkmann
Castillo
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.9
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
7.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.7
VolkmannCastillo
Strike Zones
Volkmann
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedCastillo
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Volkmann targets the head (75% of attacks) — Castillo absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Castillo targets the legs (53% of attacks) — Volkmann absorbs 53% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Volkmann
RND
Castillo
0/0R00/0
Volkmann · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Castillo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Volkmann · Last 5
L · Sub · R3
King GreenRating 4.7Submission
UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar · 2013-02
W · Sub · R1
Shane RollerRating 5Submission
UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot · 2012-10
L · Sub · R1
Paul SassRating 1.5Submission
UFC 146: Dos Santos vs Mir · 2012-05
W · Dec · R3
Efrain EscuderoRating 4.5Decision
UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem · 2011-12
W · Dec · R3
Danny CastilloRating 4.5Decision
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle · 2011-08
Castillo · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Nik LentzRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowboy 2 · 2015-12
L · Dec · R3
Jim MillerRating 5.9Decision
UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao II · 2015-07
L · KO · R2
Paul FelderRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 182: Jones vs Cormier · 2015-01
L · Dec · R3
Tony FergusonRating 6Decision
UFC 177: Dillashaw vs Soto · 2014-08
W · KO · R2
Charlie BrennemanRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira · 2014-04