METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle
Milwaukee, USA
14 Aug 2011
Lightweight
VS
48%
Volkmann
52%
Castillo
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Jacob VolkmannwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Danny Castillo · UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Castillo
→
Actual result
Volkmann wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Volkmann at 48% vs Castillo at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Volkmann's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Castillo has a chin rating of 46 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
VolkmannCastillo
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Volkmann
Castillo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
5'9"
71"
Reach
71"
46+
Age
47
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Volkmann
Castillo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.1
17.2
41.9
Performance Avg
40.6
30
Quality of Victory
34
70
Momentum Score
89
Volkmann
Castillo
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
3.9
/ 10
3.0
Style: Pressure
3.5
7.9
Style: Volume
6.7
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
0
1
Body
7
0
Leg
8
RangeRange
2Distance4
0Clinch0
2Ground11
Volkmann
Castillo
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.3
/ 10
1.7
/ 10
2.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
1.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Volkmann
Castillo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
46
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
3
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/26 fights
Chin rating based on
14/27 fights
Volkmann
Castillo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
70
89
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Volkmann
Castillo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
17%
29%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Volkmann
Castillo
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.9
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
7.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.7
VolkmannCastillo
Strike Zones
Volkmann
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedCastillo
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Volkmann targets the head (75% of attacks) — Castillo absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Castillo targets the legs (53% of attacks) — Volkmann absorbs 53% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Volkmann
RND
Castillo
0/0R00/0
Volkmann · Last 5
L · Sub · R3
King GreenSubmission
UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar · 2013-02
W · Sub · R1
Shane RollerSubmission
UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot · 2012-10
L · Sub · R1
Paul SassSubmission
UFC 146: Dos Santos vs Mir · 2012-05
W · Dec · R3
Efrain EscuderoDecision
UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem · 2011-12
W · Dec · R3
Danny CastilloDecision
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle · 2011-08
Castillo · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Nik LentzDecision
UFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowboy 2 · 2015-12
L · Dec · R3
Jim MillerDecision
UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao II · 2015-07
L · KO · R2
Paul FelderKO/TKO
UFC 182: Jones vs Cormier · 2015-01
L · Dec · R3
Tony FergusonDecision
UFC 177: Dillashaw vs Soto · 2014-08
W · KO · R2
Charlie BrennemanKO/TKO
UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira · 2014-04