UFC Fight Night: Bader vs Saint Preux
Bangor, USA
16 Aug 2014
Women's Bantamweight
VS
35%
McMann
65%
Murphy
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Murphy
Murphy holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but McMann has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Murphy throws more volume but McMann connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
McMann's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Murphy has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
McMann
Murphy
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'5"
66"
Reach
+67"
45
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
McMann
Murphy
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
28.4
51.7
44.1
Performance Avg
41.9
38
Quality of Victory
34
92
Momentum Score
87
McMann
Murphy
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
1.5
47%
Strike Accuracy
43%
2.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
22
3
Body
1
5
Leg
4
RangeRange
15Distance13
1Clinch1
0Ground13
McMann
Murphy
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.5
2.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
McMann
Murphy
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
66
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
4
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R4.0 stoppage
11 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/19 fights
Chin rating based on
15/23 fights
McMann
Murphy
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
92
87
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R4
W · Dec · R3
McMann
Murphy
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
38%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
McMann
Murphy
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
2.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.3
4.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
McMannMurphy
Strike Zones
McMann
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedMurphy
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯McMann targets the head (50% of attacks) — Murphy absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Murphy targets the head (81% of attacks) — McMann absorbs 81% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
McMann
RND
Murphy
0/0R00/0
McMann · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Murphy · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
McMann · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Karol RosaRating 5.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus · 2022-03
L · Sub · R3
Julianna PenaRating 5.5Submission
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor · 2021-01
W · Dec · R3
Lina LansbergRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos · 2020-01
L · Sub · R2
Marion ReneauRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Stephens · 2018-02
L · Sub · R2
Ketlen VieiraRating 3.1Submission
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2 · 2017-09
Murphy · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Eduarda MouraRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Jessica AndradeRating 6.3Decision
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01
W · Dec · R3
Miesha TateRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
L · KO · R4
Valentina ShevchenkoRating 4.7KO/TKO
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
W · Dec · R3
Joanne WoodRating 4.7Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06