METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs Saint Preux
Bangor, USA
16 Aug 2014
Women's Bantamweight
VS
35%
McMann
65%
Murphy
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Sara McMannwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Lauren Murphy · UFC Fight Night: Bader vs Saint Preux
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Murphy
→
Actual result
McMann wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Murphy holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but McMann has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
McMann's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Murphy has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
McMannMurphy
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
McMann
Murphy
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'5"
66"
Reach
+67"
45
Age
+43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
McMann
Murphy
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
28.4
51.7
44.1
Performance Avg
41.9
38
Quality of Victory
34
92
Momentum Score
87
McMann
Murphy
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.5
/ 10
3.6
/ 10
4.6
Style: Pressure
4.2
5.7
Style: Volume
6.1
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
22
3
Body
1
5
Leg
4
RangeRange
15Distance13
1Clinch1
0Ground13
McMann
Murphy
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.7
/ 10
2.5
/ 10
2.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
2.9
Submission Style (/10)
1.3
2
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
McMann
Murphy
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
66
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
4
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R4.0 stoppage
11 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/19 fights
Chin rating based on
15/23 fights
McMann
Murphy
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
92
87
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R4
W · Dec · R3
McMann
Murphy
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
38%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
McMann
Murphy
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
2.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.3
4.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
McMannMurphy
Strike Zones
McMann
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedMurphy
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯McMann targets the head (50% of attacks) — Murphy absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Murphy targets the head (81% of attacks) — McMann absorbs 81% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
McMann
RND
Murphy
0/0R00/0
McMann · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Karol RosaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus · 2022-03
L · Sub · R3
Julianna PenaSubmission
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor · 2021-01
W · Dec · R3
Lina LansbergDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos · 2020-01
L · Sub · R2
Marion ReneauSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Stephens · 2018-02
L · Sub · R2
Ketlen VieiraSubmission
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2 · 2017-09
Murphy · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Eduarda MouraDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Jessica AndradeDecision
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01
W · Dec · R3
Miesha TateDecision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
L · KO · R4
Valentina ShevchenkoKO/TKO
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
W · Dec · R3
Joanne WoodDecision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06