UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr.
Baku, Azerbaijan
21 Jun 2025
Light Heavyweight
VS
53%
Hill
47%
Jr.
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Hill
This is a genuine toss-up — Hill at 53% vs Jr. at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Hill has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Hill's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Jr. has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Hill
Jr.
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'1"
79"+
Reach
76"
35+
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Hill
Jr.
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
60.4
53.7
54.2
Performance Avg
52.0
50
Quality of Victory
48
92
Momentum Score
77
Hill
Jr.
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.4
51%
Strike Accuracy
42%
7.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.2
4 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
10
2
Body
22
3
Leg
5
RangeRange
26Distance37
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Hill
Jr.
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.7
0.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Hill
Jr.
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/16 fights
Chin rating based on
18/22 fights
Hill
Jr.
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
92
77
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R4
Last 5
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R4
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
Hill
Jr.
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
70%
4
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hill
Jr.
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.2
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.7
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.7
3.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
HillJr.
Strike Zones
Hill
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
37 absorbedJr.
Attacking
37 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hill targets the head (81% of attacks) — Jr. absorbs 81% of strikes there
🎯Jr. targets the body (59% of attacks) — Hill absorbs 59% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hill
RND
Jr.
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Hill · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Jr. · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Hill · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Khalil Rountree Jr.Rating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
L · KO · R3
Jiri ProchazkaRating 5.7KO/TKO
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
L · KO · R1
Alex PereiraRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · Dec · R5
Glover TeixeiraRating 4.9Decision
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01
W · KO · R4
Thiago SantosRating 5.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill · 2022-08
Jr. · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Jiri ProchazkaRating 5.7KO/TKO
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Dec · R5
Jamahal HillRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
L · KO · R4
Alex PereiraRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · KO · R3
Anthony SmithRating 6.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12
W · KO · R1
Chris DaukausRating 5.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08

