UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad
Las Vegas, USA
13 Mar 2021
Bantamweight
VS
95%
Yahya
5%
Rodriguez
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:09
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Yahya
Yahya is a strong favourite at 95% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 40 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Yahya has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 39 points.
Yahya has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Yahya's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Yahya
Rodriguez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'7"
67"
Reach
+70"
41
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Yahya
Rodriguez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
42.3
2.1
50.5
Performance Avg
0.0
39
Quality of Victory
0
39
Momentum Score
0
Yahya
Rodriguez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.5
0.3
38%
Strike Accuracy
16%
1.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
1
0
Body
1
6
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Yahya
Rodriguez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
3.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Yahya
Rodriguez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
76
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/40 fights
Chin rating based on
2/24 fights
Yahya
Rodriguez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Upcoming
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R1
Yahya
Rodriguez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
54%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
7
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Yahya
Rodriguez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
5.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
YahyaRodriguez
Strike Zones
Yahya
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedRodriguez
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Yahya targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Rodriguez absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Rodriguez targets the head (50% of attacks) — Yahya absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Yahya
RND
Rodriguez
0/0R00/0
Yahya · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Rodriguez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.5WinLossTrend
Yahya · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Victor HenryRating 4.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04
L · KO · R1
Montel JacksonRating 2.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes · 2023-04
W · Dec · R3
Kyung Ho KangRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate · 2021-11
W · Sub · R2
Ray RodriguezRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad · 2021-03
Upcoming
Enrique BarzolaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
Rodriguez · Last 2
L · Sub · R2
Rani YahyaRating 3.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad · 2021-03
L · Sub · R1
Brian KelleherRating 1.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sakai · 2020-09