METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2
Las Vegas, USA
11 Jan 2025
Featherweight
VS
51%
Rodriguez
49%
Bashi
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Christian RodriguezwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Austin Bashi · UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Rodriguez
→
Actual result
Rodriguez wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Rodriguez at 51% vs Bashi at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Bashi has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
RodriguezBashi
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Rodriguez
Bashi
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'6"
71"+
Reach
70"
28
Age
+24
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Rodriguez
Bashi
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
55.0
53.9
44.8
Performance Avg
45.7
35
Quality of Victory
54
90
Momentum Score
43
Rodriguez
Bashi
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
0.7
/ 10
4.1
Style: Pressure
8.0
6.5
Style: Volume
0.7
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
7
9
Body
3
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
18Distance8
3Clinch1
2Ground1
Rodriguez
Bashi
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.3
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
2
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Rodriguez
Bashi
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
82
96
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/16 fights
Chin rating based on
3/15 fights
Rodriguez
Bashi
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
90
43
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Rodriguez
Bashi
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Rodriguez
Bashi
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
RodriguezBashi
Strike Zones
Rodriguez
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedBashi
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Rodriguez targets the head (61% of attacks) — Bashi absorbs 61% of strikes there
🎯Bashi targets the head (70% of attacks) — Rodriguez absorbs 70% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Rodriguez
RND
Bashi
0/0R00/0
Rodriguez · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
Hyder AmilSubmission
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Melquizael CostaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Austin BashiDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
L · Sub · R1
Julian ErosaSubmission
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Bashi · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Jose DelgadoDecision
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W · Sub · R1
John YannisSubmission
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Christian RodriguezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01