★ Championship Bout · Women's Strawweight
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2
Sydney, Australia
8 Feb 2025
Women's Strawweight
VS
50%
Weili
50%
Suarez
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Zhang
Zhang Weili
"Magnum"
26 – 4
5'4"63" reachSwitch36 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 72
Tatiana
Tatiana Suarez
13 – 1
Well-Rounded2-fight win streak35 yrsSouthpaw66" reach5'5"
CFR 73

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Weili

This is a genuine toss-up — Weili at 50% vs Suarez at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Weili has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.

Striking split: Weili throws more volume but Suarez connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Weili
Suarez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'5"
63"
Reach
+66"
36
Age
+35
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
Weili
Suarez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
71.6
72.7
66.9
Performance Avg
64.5
60
Quality of Victory
48
100
Momentum Score
100
Weili
Suarez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.1
56%
Strike Accuracy
59%
3.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.9
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
0
6
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance1
7Clinch0
5Ground0
Weili
Suarez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.0
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
2.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.7
2.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.6
2
Submission wins
5
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Weili
Suarez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
98
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/30 fights
Chin rating based on
10/14 fights
Weili
Suarez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R2
Weili
Suarez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
67%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
5
6
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Weili
Suarez
Striking3.5 / 2.9Volume6.3 / 4.5Grappling3.0 / 5.2Wrestling2.1 / 3.7Submission2.0 / 5.6Pressure5.1 / 7.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.9
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.7
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.6
5.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.4
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.5
Weili
Strike Zones
Suarez
Weili
Attacking
9HEAD6BODY1LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 absorbed
Suarez
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD6BODY1LEGS16 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Weili targets the head (56% of attacks) — Suarez absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Suarez targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Weili absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Weili
RND
Suarez
0/0R00/0

Weili · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0104.5W5.0W5.2W5.8W4.5W2.9L6.9L5.2W5.4W5.6W5.5W6.4W6.9L2018-082020-032022-112025-11
WinLossTrend

Suarez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.7
0105.0W4.5W6.2W5.8W4.5W6.3W6.0W7.3L5.6W5.7W2016-072018-092023-082026-04
WinLossTrend

Weili · Last 5

L · Dec · R5
Valentina ShevchenkoRating 6.9
Decision
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Dec · R5
Tatiana SuarezRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
W · Dec · R5
Yan XiaonanRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · Dec · R5
Amanda LemosRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08
W · Sub · R2
Carla EsparzaRating 5.4
Submission
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11

Suarez · Last 5

W · Sub · R2
Loopy GodinezRating 5.7
Submission
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Amanda LemosRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
L · Dec · R5
Zhang WeiliRating 7.3
Decision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
W · Sub · R2
Jessica AndradeRating 6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · 2023-08
W · Sub · R2
Montana De La RosaRating 6.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen · 2023-02

News & Media

Zhang Weili · Tatiana Suarez
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