UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2
Las Vegas, USA
13 Jan 2024
Bantamweight
VS
64%
McGhee
36%
Bolanos
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 3:29
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: McGhee
McGhee holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Bolanos has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 30 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
McGhee has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 22 points.
McGhee has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Bolanos has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
McGhee
Bolanos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'7"
69"
Reach
69"
36
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
McGhee
Bolanos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
68.4
38.1
60.4
Performance Avg
35.0
47
Quality of Victory
25
87
Momentum Score
56
McGhee
Bolanos
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
0.8
47%
Strike Accuracy
46%
6.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
27
Head
8
2
Body
3
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
30Distance14
0Clinch0
0Ground0
McGhee
Bolanos
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.6
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
McGhee
Bolanos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
66
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/12 fights
Chin rating based on
5/13 fights
McGhee
Bolanos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
87
56
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
McGhee
Bolanos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
McGhee
Bolanos
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
McGheeBolanos
Strike Zones
McGhee
Attacking
30 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedBolanos
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
30 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯McGhee targets the head (90% of attacks) — Bolanos absorbs 90% of strikes there
🎯Bolanos targets the head (57% of attacks) — McGhee absorbs 57% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
McGhee
RND
Bolanos
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
McGhee · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Bolanos · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
McGhee · Last 5
Upcoming
Jakub WiklaczUFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
L · Dec · R3
Petr YanRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
W · Dec · R3
Jonathan MartinezRating 5Decision
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
W · KO · R2
Gaston BolanosRating 5.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
W · KO · R1
JP BuysRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
Bolanos · Last 5
Upcoming
Michael Aswell Jr.UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
L · Sub · R2
Quang LeRating 3.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Cortavious RomiousRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
L · KO · R2
Marcus McGheeRating 4.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
W · Dec · R3
Aaron PhillipsRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04

