METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns
Las Vegas, USA
30 May 2020
Lightweight
VS
77%
Roberts
23%
Weaver
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:26
★ Official Result
Roosevelt RobertswinsSubmissionR2 · 3:26
def. Brok Weaver · UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Roberts
→
Actual result
Roberts wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Roberts is a strong favourite at 77% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 28 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Weaver has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Roberts's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
RobertsWeaver
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Roberts
Weaver
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'0"
73"
Reach
73"
32+
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Roberts
Weaver
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
39.9
12.2
40.8
Performance Avg
31.3
38
Quality of Victory
30
53
Momentum Score
43
Roberts
Weaver
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
2.1
42%
Strike Accuracy
60%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
0
1
Body
5
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance1
0Clinch4
13Ground0
Roberts
Weaver
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Roberts
Weaver
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
76
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
2
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/18 fights
Chin rating based on
3/21 fights
Roberts
Weaver
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
43
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
Upcoming
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · R1
Roberts
Weaver
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Roberts
Weaver
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
RobertsWeaver
Strike Zones
Roberts
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedWeaver
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Roberts targets the head (95% of attacks) — Weaver absorbs 95% of strikes there
🎯Weaver targets the body (100% of attacks) — Roberts absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Roberts
RND
Weaver
0/0R00/0
Roberts · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Weaver · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.7WinLossTrend
Roberts · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ludovit KleinRating 6.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
L · Sub · R1
Mateusz RebeckiRating 2.1Submission
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L · KO · R3
Ignacio BahamondesRating 5.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Gastelum · 2021-08
Upcoming
Kevin CroomUFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · 2020-09
L · Sub · R1
Jim MillerRating 1.9Submission
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov · 2020-06
Weaver · Last 3
L · Sub · R2
Jalin TurnerRating 4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · 2020-09
L · Sub · R2
Roosevelt RobertsRating 3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns · 2020-05
W · R1
Kazula VargasRating 4UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02