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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns
Las Vegas, USA
30 May 2020
Lightweight
VS
77%
Roberts
23%
Weaver
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:26
Roosevelt
Roosevelt Roberts
"The Predator"
126
6'2"73" reachOrthodox32 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 40
BW
Brok Weaver
"Chata Tuska"
156
Well-Rounded2-fight slide34 yrsSouthpaw73" reach6'0"
CFR 12
★ Official Result
Roosevelt RobertswinsSubmissionR2 · 3:26
def. Brok Weaver · UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Roberts
Actual result
Roberts wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis

Roberts is a strong favourite at 77% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 28 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Roberts's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
RobertsWeaver
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Roberts
Weaver
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'0"
73"
Reach
73"
32+
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Roberts
Weaver
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
39.9
12.2
40.8
Performance Avg
31.3
38
Quality of Victory
30
53
Momentum Score
43
Roberts
Weaver
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
/ 10
0.7
/ 10
4.8
Style: Pressure
1.0
4.9
Style: Volume
0.7
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
0
1
Body
5
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance1
0Clinch4
13Ground0
Roberts
Weaver
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Roberts
Weaver
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
76
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
2
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
10/18 fights
Chin rating based on
3/21 fights
Roberts
Weaver
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
43
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
Upcoming
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · R1
Roberts
Weaver
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Roberts
Weaver
Striking0.9 / 0.7Volume4.9 / 0.7Grappling5.2 / 0.0Wrestling3.6 / 0.0Submission5.0 / 0.0Pressure4.8 / 1.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
Roberts
Strike Zones
Weaver
Roberts
Attacking
18HEAD1BODY0LEGS19 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD5BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Weaver
Attacking
0HEAD5BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
18HEAD1BODY0LEGS19 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Roberts targets the head (95% of attacks) — Weaver absorbs 95% of strikes there
🎯Weaver targets the body (100% of attacks) — Roberts absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Roberts
RND
Weaver
0/0R00/0

Roberts · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Ludovit Klein
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
L · Sub · R1
Mateusz Rebecki
Submission
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11
L · KO · R3
Ignacio Bahamondes
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Gastelum · 2021-08
Upcoming
Kevin Croom
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · 2020-09
L · Sub · R1
Jim Miller
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov · 2020-06

Weaver · Last 3

L · Sub · R2
Jalin Turner
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · 2020-09
L · Sub · R2
Roosevelt Roberts
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns · 2020-05
W · R1
Kazula Vargas
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02

News & Media

Roosevelt Roberts · Brok Weaver
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