UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns
Las Vegas, USA
30 May 2020
Lightweight
VS
77%
Roberts
23%
Weaver
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:26
Roosevelt
Roosevelt Roberts
"The Predator"
12 – 6
6'2"73" reachOrthodox32 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 40
BW
Brok Weaver
"Chata Tuska"
15 – 6
Well-Rounded2-fight slide34 yrsSouthpaw73" reach6'0"
CFR 12

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Roberts

Roberts is a strong favourite at 77% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 28 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Weaver has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Roberts's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Roberts
Weaver
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'0"
73"
Reach
73"
32+
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Roberts
Weaver
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
39.9
12.2
40.8
Performance Avg
31.3
38
Quality of Victory
30
53
Momentum Score
43
Roberts
Weaver
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
2.1
42%
Strike Accuracy
60%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
0
1
Body
5
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance1
0Clinch4
13Ground0
Roberts
Weaver
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Roberts
Weaver
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
76
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
2
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/18 fights
Chin rating based on
3/21 fights
Roberts
Weaver
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
43
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
Upcoming
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · R1
Roberts
Weaver
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Roberts
Weaver
Striking0.9 / 0.7Volume4.9 / 0.7Grappling5.2 / 0.0Wrestling3.6 / 0.0Submission5.0 / 0.0Pressure4.8 / 1.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
Roberts
Strike Zones
Weaver
Roberts
Attacking
18HEAD1BODY0LEGS19 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD5BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Weaver
Attacking
0HEAD5BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
18HEAD1BODY0LEGS19 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Roberts targets the head (95% of attacks) — Weaver absorbs 95% of strikes there
🎯Weaver targets the body (100% of attacks) — Roberts absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Roberts
RND
Weaver
0/0R00/0

Roberts · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.0W4.5W5.7L4.5W5.2W1.9L5.3L2.1L6.7L2018-112019-112021-082024-09
WinLossTrend

Weaver · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.7
0104.0W3.0L4.0L2020-022020-052020-09
WinLossTrend

Roberts · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Ludovit KleinRating 6.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
L · Sub · R1
Mateusz RebeckiRating 2.1
Submission
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11
L · KO · R3
Ignacio BahamondesRating 5.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Gastelum · 2021-08
Upcoming
Kevin Croom
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · 2020-09
L · Sub · R1
Jim MillerRating 1.9
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov · 2020-06

Weaver · Last 3

L · Sub · R2
Jalin TurnerRating 4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · 2020-09
L · Sub · R2
Roosevelt RobertsRating 3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns · 2020-05
W · R1
Kazula VargasRating 4
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02

News & Media

Roosevelt Roberts · Brok Weaver
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