UFC 4: Revenge of the Warriors
Tulsa, USA
16 Dec 1994
Open Weight
VS
53%
Severn
47%
Macias
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:45
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Severn
This is a genuine toss-up — Severn at 53% vs Macias at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Severn throws more volume but Macias connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Severn's chin rating of 42 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Severn
Macias
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'9"
67
Age
+57
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
Severn
Macias
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.1
19.8
66.1
Performance Avg
49.3
64
Quality of Victory
60
65
Momentum Score
52
Severn
Macias
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.1
59%
Strike Accuracy
89%
1.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
4
0
Body
2
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
0Distance2
0Clinch3
0Ground3
Severn
Macias
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
5.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
5.6
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
5
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Severn
Macias
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
42
76
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/120 fights
Chin rating based on
3/44 fights
Severn
Macias
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
52
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R2
W · Dec · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
Severn
Macias
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
56%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
5
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Severn
Macias
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
SevernMacias
Strike Zones
Severn
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedMacias
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Macias targets the head (50% of attacks) — Severn absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Severn
RND
Macias
0/0R00/0
Severn · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.7WinLossTrend
Macias · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.7WinLossTrend
Severn · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Pedro RizzoRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 27: Ultimate Bad Boyz · 2000-09
L · Sub · R1
Mark ColemanRating 1.5Submission
UFC 12: Judgement Day · 1997-02
W · Dec · R3
Ken ShamrockRating 4.5Decision
UFC 9: Motor City Madness · 1996-05
W · Dec · R2
Oleg TaktarovRating 4.2Decision
UFC - Ultimate Ultimate '95 · 1995-12
W · Dec · R1
David AbbottRating 4Decision
UFC - Ultimate Ultimate '95 · 1995-12
Macias · Last 3
L · Sub · R1
Oleg TaktarovRating 1.5Submission
UFC 6: Clash of the Titans · 1995-07
W · KO · R1
He-Man GipsonRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 6: Clash of the Titans · 1995-07
L · Sub · R1
Dan SevernRating 1.5Submission
UFC 4: Revenge of the Warriors · 1994-12