UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic
Curitiba, Brazil
14 May 2016
Bantamweight
VS
27%
Lineker
73%
Font
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Font
Font is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 38 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Lineker throws more volume but Font connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Lineker
Font
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'3"
Height
+5'8"
67"
Reach
+71"
35+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lineker
Font
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.8
59.4
56.0
Performance Avg
49.1
43
Quality of Victory
44
83
Momentum Score
91
Lineker
Font
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.4
1.9
42%
Strike Accuracy
46%
6.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.1
6 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
23
Head
6
13
Body
0
6
Leg
2
RangeRange
19Distance8
2Clinch0
21Ground0
Lineker
Font
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.7
1.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lineker
Font
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
82
72
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/40 fights
Chin rating based on
21/32 fights
Lineker
Font
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
83
91
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Lineker
Font
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
58%
58%
6
KO / TKO Wins
6
1
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lineker
Font
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.1
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
0.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.8
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.5
LinekerFont
Strike Zones
Lineker
Attacking
42 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedFont
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
42 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lineker targets the head (55% of attacks) — Font absorbs 55% of strikes there
🎯Font targets the head (75% of attacks) — Lineker absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lineker
RND
Font
0/0R00/0
Lineker · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Font · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Lineker · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Cory SandhagenRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson · 2019-04
W · KO · R3
Brian KelleherRating 5.8KO/TKO
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Marlon VeraRating 5.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Machida · 2017-10
L · Dec · R3
TJ DillashawRating 5.6Decision
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey · 2016-12
W · Dec · R5
John DodsonRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · 2016-10
Font · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Raul Rosas Jr.Rating 7.1Decision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
David MartinezRating 7.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Jean MatsumotoRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Kyler PhillipsRating 5.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
