UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz
Las Vegas, USA
29 Oct 2011
Featherweight
VS
49%
Hioki
51%
Roop
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Roop
This is a genuine toss-up — Hioki at 49% vs Roop at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Roop has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Roop has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Hioki's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Roop has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Hioki
Roop
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'1"
73"+
Reach
72"
42+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hioki
Roop
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
9.0
9.4
30.0
Performance Avg
37.0
25
Quality of Victory
36
10
Momentum Score
0
Hioki
Roop
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
1.3
36%
Strike Accuracy
40%
0.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.8
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
4
2
Body
6
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance2
3Clinch5
1Ground3
Hioki
Roop
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
1.4
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Hioki
Roop
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
0
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/39 fights
Chin rating based on
13/28 fights
Hioki
Roop
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
10
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
Hioki
Roop
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
40%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hioki
Roop
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.8
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.0
8.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.6
HiokiRoop
Strike Zones
Hioki
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedRoop
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hioki targets the head (60% of attacks) — Roop absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Roop targets the body (60% of attacks) — Hioki absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hioki
RND
Roop
0/0R00/0
Hioki · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Roop · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Hioki · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Dan HookerRating 3.6KO/TKO
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L · Sub · R2
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W · Dec · R3
Ivan MenjivarRating 4.5Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Darren ElkinsRating 6Decision
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Roop · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Takeya MizugakiRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson · 2015-09
L · KO · R1
Rob FontRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC 175: Weidman vs Machida · 2014-07
W · Dec · R3
Dustin KimuraRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Kennedy · 2014-04
L · KO · R2
Francisco RiveraRating 2.8KO/TKO
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W · KO · R2
Brian BowlesRating 5.2KO/TKO
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