UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones
Newark, USA
19 Mar 2011
Bantamweight
VS
58%
Benavidez
42%
Loveland
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Benavidez
This is a genuine toss-up — Benavidez at 58% vs Loveland at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Benavidez has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Striking split: Benavidez throws more volume but Loveland connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Benavidez's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Benavidez
Loveland
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'8"
65"
Reach
41+
Age
42
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Benavidez
Loveland
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.0
11.8
51.4
Performance Avg
28.3
38
Quality of Victory
25
40
Momentum Score
40
Benavidez
Loveland
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.0
37%
Strike Accuracy
38%
4.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
5 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
8
6
Body
5
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
11Distance11
1Clinch1
2Ground1
Benavidez
Loveland
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Benavidez
Loveland
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
96
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/36 fights
Chin rating based on
3/28 fights
Benavidez
Loveland
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
40
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Benavidez
Loveland
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
0%
5
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
9
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Benavidez
Loveland
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
BenavidezLoveland
Strike Zones
Benavidez
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedLoveland
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Benavidez targets the head (57% of attacks) — Loveland absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Loveland targets the head (62% of attacks) — Benavidez absorbs 62% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Benavidez
RND
Loveland
0/0R00/0
Benavidez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Loveland · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Benavidez · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Askar AskarovRating 5.5Decision
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03
L · Sub · R1
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 2.6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Figueiredo vs. Benavidez 2 · 2020-07
L · KO · R2
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. Figueiredo · 2020-02
W · KO · R2
Jussier FormigaRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · Dec · R3
Dustin OrtizRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01
Loveland · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Yves JabouinRating 5.5Decision
UFC 134: Silva vs Okami · 2011-08
L · Dec · R3
Joseph BenavidezRating 5.5Decision
UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones · 2011-03
W · Dec · R3
Tyler TonerRating 4.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team GSP vs Team Koscheck Finale · 2010-12